2026 Maryland Governor
Margin = Wes Moore − Dan Cox. 3 polls from 3 pollsters. Consensus as of Sep 23, 2026: D+26.1(95% band D+21.1 to D+31.1).
Polls and consensus
Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band
How each pollster compares in this race
Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.
| Pollster | Polls here | Avg. vs consensus here | Overall house effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| University of Maryland Baltimore County Institute of Politics | 1 | D+0.9 | D+0.4 |
| University of Maryland, Baltimore County | 1 | D+0.9 | D+0.4 |
| Zenith Research | 1 | D+1.4 | D+1.5 |
All polls
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | House-effect adjusted | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026 | University of Maryland Baltimore County Institute of Politics | 776 LV | D+27.0 | D+26.7 | release via votehub |
| Sep 22, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026 | University of Maryland, Baltimore County | 776 LV | D+27.0 | D+26.7 | release via wikipedia |
| Jul 27, 2026 – Aug 3, 2026 | Zenith Research D | 800 LV | D+27.0 | D+25.6 | release via votehub,wikipedia |