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UC Berkeley IGS

5 polls analyzed · population: 3 LV, 2 RV

Election house effect
D+5.8
95%: D+3.7 to D+8.0 · 5 polls, 1 race

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 1.38).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Sep 20, 20262026 California Governor4,512 LVD+25.0D+8.7release
Aug 9, 20262026 California Governor2,310 LVD+18.0D+6.6release
May 24, 20262026 California Governor5,472 LVD+4.0D+5.0release
Oct 27, 20252026 California Governor8,141 RVEvenD+6.8release
Aug 17, 20252026 California Governor4,950 RVD+3.0D+6.9release