Normington, Petts & Associates
2 polls analyzed · population: 2 LV · declared affiliation: D
Election house effect
D+0.1
95%: R+3.3 to D+3.5 · 1 polls, 1 race
Approval house effect
−1.9 net approval
95%: −8.7 net approval to +5.3 net approval · 1 polls, 1 race
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Trump job approval: consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 3 | -1.0 | -2.0 to 0.0 | -0.1 |
Trump job approval
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 3 | 2.7 | 2.0 to 3.0 | -0.5 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 800 LV | −9.0 net approval | −1.8 | release |
| Sep 16, 2025 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 800 LV | D+2.0 | R+0.7 | release |