PennLive
5 polls analyzed · population: 4 RV, 1 LV
Election house effect
D+2.9
95%: R+0.1 to D+6.1 · 5 polls, 1 race
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.87).
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bravo Group | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.0 | 0.5 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | 2026 Pennsylvania Governor | 628 RV | D+30.0 | D+7.2 | release |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 2026 Pennsylvania Governor | 624 RV | D+27.0 | D+4.5 | release |
| Aug 22, 2026 | 2026 Pennsylvania Governor | 711 RV | D+31.0 | D+8.7 | release |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 2026 Pennsylvania Governor | 644 RV | D+25.0 | D+4.5 | release |
| May 24, 2026 | 2026 Pennsylvania Governor | 683 LV | D+24.0 | D+3.6 | release |