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PPIC

6 polls analyzed · population: 6 LV

Election house effect
D+2.9
95%: D+0.4 to D+5.4 · 6 polls, 1 race

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its polls bounce around more than sample sizes explain (dispersion 5.58, p < 0.001).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Sep 10, 20262026 California Governor1,103 LVD+22.0D+6.4release
Jul 6, 20262026 California Governor1,003 LVD+25.0D+18.3release
May 18, 20262026 California Governor986 LVD+3.0D+4.5release
Apr 3, 20262026 California Governor1,008 LVR+12.0R+1.6release
Feb 11, 20262026 California Governor1,049 LVR+9.0D+2.5release
Nov 19, 20252026 California Governor1,086 LVEvenD+8.1release