UC Berkeley Citrin Center/TrueDot
5 polls analyzed · population: 3 RV, 2 LV
Election house effect
D+1.0
95%: R+1.4 to D+3.5 · 4 polls, 2 races
Approval house effect
−3.4 net approval
95%: −9.3 net approval to +3.1 net approval · 1 polls, 1 race
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Trump job approval: consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,448 RV | −12.0 net approval | −5.0 | release |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 2026 California Governor | 1,983 LV | D+18.0 | D+1.7 | release |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2026 California Governor | 1,004 LV | R+14.0 | R+1.4 | release |
| Aug 12, 2025 | 2026 California Governor | 875 RV | R+1.0 | D+3.0 | release |
| Apr 27, 2025 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 1,448 RV | D+5.0 | D+2.6 | release |