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The Tyson Group

3 polls analyzed · population: 1 A, 2 LV

Election house effect
R+1.6
95%: R+4.9 to D+1.8 · 2 polls, 1 race
Approval house effect
+1.0 net approval
95%: −5.5 net approval to +7.1 net approval · 1 polls, 1 race

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Trump job approval: consistency

Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Jun 26, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,027 A−6.0 net approval+0.9release
Oct 8, 20262026 Michigan Senate600 LVR+2.0R+4.4release
Sep 27, 20262026 Michigan Senate600 LVD+1.0R+1.8release