2026 Vermont Governor
Margin = Amanda Janoo − Phil Scott. 5 polls from 3 pollsters. Consensus as of Sep 30, 2026: R+6.9(95% band R+12.6 to R+1.6).
Polls and consensus
Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band
How each pollster compares in this race
Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.
| Pollster | Polls here | Avg. vs consensus here | Overall house effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braun Research/ Vermont Public | 1 | R+2.9 | R+0.3 |
| University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 3 | D+2.0 | R+0.2 |
| State Navigate | 1 | D+3.9 | D+1.9 |
All polls
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | House-effect adjusted | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026 | State Navigate | 948 LV | R+3.0 | R+4.8 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 17, 2026 – Sep 21, 2026 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 835 LV | D+6.0 | D+6.3 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 10, 2026 – Sep 21, 2026 | Braun Research/ Vermont Public | 737 LV | R+10.0 | R+9.6 | release via wikipedia |
| Jul 15, 2026 – Jul 20, 2026 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 954 LV | R+11.0 | R+10.7 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Jun 18, 2026 – Jun 23, 2026 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 511 LV | R+15.0 | R+14.7 | release via votehub,wikipedia |