← All pollsters

University of New Hampshire Survey Center

37 polls analyzed · population: 37 LV

Election house effect
R+0.2
95%: R+1.8 to D+1.4 · 37 polls, 10 races

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 1.05).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
Saint Anselm College Survey Center4-2.0-6.5 to 2.5-0.3
The New York Times/Siena43.0-2.0 to 7.0-0.0

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Sep 21, 20262026 Rhode Island Senate598 LVD+20.0R+2.3release
Sep 21, 20262026 New Hampshire Senate1,418 LVD+8.0D+1.1release
Sep 21, 20262026 Maine Senate1,312 LVD+4.0D+1.7release
Sep 21, 20262026 Massachusetts Senate564 LVD+23.0R+0.7release
Sep 21, 20262026 Vermont Governor835 LVD+6.0D+13.1release
Sep 21, 20262026 Rhode Island Governor598 LVD+27.0D+2.2release
Sep 21, 20262026 New Hampshire Governor1,418 LVR+4.0D+5.1release
Sep 21, 20262026 Maine Governor1,312 LVD+8.0R+3.2release
Sep 21, 20262026 Massachusetts Governor564 LVD+16.0R+5.7release
Sep 21, 20262026 Connecticut Governor540 LVD+17.0D+0.4release
Aug 24, 20262026 Rhode Island Senate750 LVD+20.0R+1.4release
Aug 24, 20262026 New Hampshire Senate1,878 LVR+2.0R+7.3release
Aug 24, 20262026 Massachusetts Senate881 LVD+19.0R+3.6release
Aug 24, 20262026 Rhode Island Governor750 LVD+25.0D+0.6release
Aug 24, 20262026 New Hampshire Governor1,878 LVR+10.0R+0.8release
Aug 24, 20262026 Massachusetts Governor881 LVD+24.0D+2.0release
Aug 24, 20262026 Connecticut Governor809 LVD+15.0R+1.4release
Jul 20, 20262026 Maine Senate1,178 LVD+3.0D+0.5release
Jul 20, 20262026 Vermont Governor954 LVR+11.0R+1.9release
Jul 20, 20262026 Maine Governor1,178 LVD+14.0D+1.9release
Jun 23, 20262026 Rhode Island Senate664 LVD+18.0R+2.1release
Jun 23, 20262026 New Hampshire Senate2,232 LVD+3.0R+1.7release
Jun 23, 20262026 Massachusetts Senate623 LVD+16.0R+6.3release
Jun 23, 20262026 Vermont Governor511 LVR+15.0R+5.3release
Jun 23, 20262026 Rhode Island Governor664 LVD+16.0R+5.1release
Jun 23, 20262026 New Hampshire Governor2,232 LVR+5.0D+2.2release
Jun 23, 20262026 Massachusetts Governor623 LVD+19.0R+3.3release
Jun 23, 20262026 Connecticut Governor828 LVD+13.0R+3.0release
Apr 21, 20262026 New Hampshire Senate1,295 LVD+7.0D+2.3release
Apr 21, 20262026 New Hampshire Governor1,117 LVR+8.0R+0.8release
Apr 20, 20262026 Rhode Island Senate556 LVD+18.0R+1.3release
Apr 20, 20262026 Massachusetts Senate603 LVD+23.0R+0.4release
Apr 20, 20262026 Massachusetts Governor599 LVD+20.0R+3.2release
Feb 16, 20262026 Massachusetts Senate616 LVD+29.0D+4.5release
Feb 16, 20262026 Massachusetts Governor620 LVD+29.0D+4.8release
Jan 19, 20262026 New Hampshire Senate2,038 LVD+5.0D+0.5release
Sep 23, 20252026 New Hampshire Senate1,225 LVD+6.0D+1.2release