2026 Rhode Island Senate
Margin = Jack Reed − Raymond McKay. 6 polls from 3 pollsters. Consensus as of Oct 7, 2026: D+23.1(95% band D+17.7 to D+28.4).
Polls and consensus
Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band
How each pollster compares in this race
Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.
| Pollster | Polls here | Avg. vs consensus here | Overall house effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 4 | R+1.8 | R+0.2 |
| Embold Research | 1 | R+0.1 | R+0.3 |
| Emerson College | 1 | D+10.9 | R+0.1 |
All polls
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | House-effect adjusted | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 11, 2026 | Emerson College | 800 LV | D+34.0 | D+34.2 | release via wikipedia |
| Oct 5, 2026 – Oct 8, 2026 | Embold Research | 815 LV | D+23.0 | D+23.4 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 17, 2026 – Sep 21, 2026 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 598 LV | D+20.0 | D+20.4 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Aug 20, 2026 – Aug 24, 2026 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 750 LV | D+20.0 | D+20.4 | release via votehub |
| Jun 18, 2026 – Jun 23, 2026 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 664 LV | D+18.0 | D+18.4 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Apr 16, 2026 – Apr 20, 2026 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 556 LV | D+18.0 | D+18.4 | release via wikipedia |