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2026 New Hampshire Senate

Margin = Chris Pappas − John Sununu. 28 polls from 17 pollsters. Consensus as of Oct 7, 2026: D+7.2(95% band D+3.9 to D+10.3).

Polls and consensus

Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band

How each pollster compares in this race

Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.

PollsterPolls hereAvg. vs consensus hereOverall house effect
Quantus Insights1R+9.4R+1.6
Fabrizio Ward1R+6.6R+1.2
Peak Insights1R+3.9R+3.4
co/efficient3R+3.4R+3.6
1892 Polling1R+2.5R+1.3
Emerson College1R+2.5R+0.1
National Public Affairs1R+2.2R+2.5
The New York Times/Siena1R+1.9R+0.2
Guidant Polling & Strategy1R+1.4R+0.1
Trafalgar Group1R+1.0R+1.5
University of New Hampshire Survey Center6R+0.7R+0.2
yes. every kid.1R+0.4D+0.7
Saint Anselm College Survey Center5D+0.1Even
YouGov1D+0.9D+0.3
InsiderAdvantage1D+1.1R+0.9
Praecones Analytica1D+2.2D+0.5
Rasmussen Reports1D+4.5R+0.2

All polls

Field datesPollsterSampleResultHouse-effect adjustedSource
Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 12, 2026National Public Affairs R600 LVD+5.0D+8.0release via wikipedia
Sep 28, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026YouGov1,520 LVD+8.0D+7.8release via wikipedia
Sep 28, 2026 – Sep 29, 2026Saint Anselm College Survey Center1,042 LVD+7.0D+7.1release via wikipedia
Sep 26, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026Trafalgar Group R1,082 LVD+6.0D+7.7release via wikipedia
Sep 15, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026The New York Times/Siena613 LVD+5.0D+5.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 17, 2026 – Sep 21, 2026University of New Hampshire Survey Center1,418 LVD+8.0D+8.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 16, 2026 – Sep 17, 2026InsiderAdvantage R1,200 LVD+8.0D+9.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 9, 2026 – Sep 11, 2026co/efficient R958 LVEvenD+3.7release via wikipedia
Sep 8, 2026 – Sep 10, 2026Rasmussen Reports R1,000 LVD+11.0D+11.5release via wikipedia
Aug 27, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026Fabrizio Ward R600 LVR+1.0D+0.6release via wikipedia
Aug 20, 2026 – Aug 24, 2026University of New Hampshire Survey Center1,878 LVR+2.0R+1.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Aug 17, 2026 – Aug 18, 2026Saint Anselm College Survey Center1,411 LVD+7.0D+7.1release via votehub,wikipedia
Jun 24, 2026 – Jun 27, 2026Peak Insights R500 LVD+1.0D+4.5release via wikipedia
Jun 24, 2026 – Jun 25, 2026Saint Anselm College Survey Center1,614 RVD+6.0D+6.0release via votehub,wikipedia
Jun 18, 2026 – Jun 23, 2026University of New Hampshire Survey Center2,232 LVD+3.0D+3.4release via votehub,wikipedia
Apr 17, 2026 – Apr 21, 2026University of New Hampshire Survey Center1,295 LVD+7.0D+7.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Mar 21, 2026 – Mar 23, 2026Emerson College1,100 LVD+1.6D+1.8release via votehub,wikipedia
Mar 16, 2026 – Mar 18, 2026Saint Anselm College Survey Center1,491 RVD+3.0D+3.0release via votehub,wikipedia
Jan 28, 2026 – Jan 29, 2026yes. every kid.563 LVD+4.0D+3.4release via votehub,wikipedia
Jan 15, 2026 – Jan 19, 2026University of New Hampshire Survey Center2,038 LVD+5.0D+5.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Dec 26, 2025 – Dec 28, 2025Praecones Analytica603 RVD+6.7D+6.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Dec 9, 2025 – Dec 11, 2025Guidant Polling & Strategy R600 LVD+3.0D+4.0release via wikipedia
Nov 18, 2025 – Nov 19, 2025Saint Anselm College Survey Center2,112 RVD+3.0D+3.0release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 9, 2025 – Oct 13, 2025co/efficient R1,034 LVD+3.0D+6.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 17, 2025 – Sep 23, 2025University of New Hampshire Survey Center1,225 LVD+6.0D+6.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 10, 2025 – Sep 12, 2025co/efficient R904 LVD+3.0D+6.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 2, 2025 – Sep 4, 20251892 Polling R500 LVD+2.0D+3.4release via votehub,wikipedia
Mar 17, 2025 – Mar 19, 2025Quantus Insights R650 RVR+9.0R+6.8release via votehub,wikipedia