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Saint Anselm College Survey Center

9 polls analyzed · population: 5 RV, 4 LV

Election house effect
Even
95%: R+2.3 to D+2.3 · 9 polls, 2 races

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its polls cluster more tightly around its own lean than sample sizes allow (dispersion 0.20, p = 0.010). That can mean herding, or heavy weighting and modeling.

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
University of New Hampshire Survey Center42.0-2.5 to 6.50.3

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Sep 29, 20262026 New Hampshire Senate1,042 LVD+7.0R+0.1release
Sep 29, 20262026 New Hampshire Governor1,042 LVR+7.0D+2.1release
Aug 18, 20262026 New Hampshire Senate1,411 LVD+7.0D+1.7release
Aug 18, 20262026 New Hampshire Governor1,411 LVR+11.0R+1.8release
Jun 25, 20262026 New Hampshire Senate1,614 RVD+6.0D+1.1release
Jun 25, 20262026 New Hampshire Governor1,614 RVR+8.0R+0.6release
Mar 18, 20262026 New Hampshire Senate1,491 RVD+3.0R+1.1release
Mar 18, 20262026 New Hampshire Governor1,491 RVR+7.0D+0.1release
Nov 19, 20252026 New Hampshire Senate2,112 RVD+3.0R+1.3release