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Peak Insights

6 polls analyzed · population: 6 LV

Election house effect
R+3.4
95%: R+6.7 to R+0.1 · 6 polls, 3 races

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its polls bounce around more than sample sizes explain (dispersion 10.73, p < 0.001).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Oct 12, 20262026 Montana Senate500 LVR+15.0D+0.4release
Sep 30, 20262026 Idaho Senate500 LVR+25.0R+6.0release
Aug 25, 20262026 Montana Senate600 LVR+22.0R+6.6release
Aug 13, 20262026 Idaho Senate500 LVR+34.0R+14.8release
Jun 27, 20262026 New Hampshire Senate500 LVD+1.0R+3.9release
Jun 7, 20262026 Idaho Senate500 LVR+48.0R+30.5release