2026 Connecticut Governor
Margin = Ned Lamont − Ryan Fazio. 13 polls from 8 pollsters. Consensus as of Oct 14, 2026: D+17.6(95% band D+13.9 to D+21.2).
Polls and consensus
Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band
How each pollster compares in this race
Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.
| Pollster | Polls here | Avg. vs consensus here | Overall house effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| co/efficient | 1 | R+9.6 | R+3.6 |
| Emerson College | 1 | R+4.0 | R+0.1 |
| University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 3 | R+1.4 | R+0.2 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2 | D+1.4 | D+1.9 |
| GreatBlue Research | 3 | D+2.1 | D+1.0 |
| Sacred Heart University / WFSB / CT Insider | 1 | D+3.1 | D+0.9 |
| Wesleyan University / YouGov | 1 | D+5.2 | D+1.1 |
| Wesleyan University Survey Lab/YouGov | 1 | D+5.5 | D+1.2 |
All polls
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | House-effect adjusted | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 – Oct 12, 2026 | Emerson College | 800 LV | D+13.6 | D+13.8 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 12, 2026 | Quinnipiac University | 702 LV | D+20.0 | D+18.2 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 12, 2026 | Wesleyan University / YouGov | — LV | D+23.0 | D+21.9 | release via wikipedia |
| Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 12, 2026 | GreatBlue Research | 1,000 RV | D+23.0 | D+22.0 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 7, 2026 | Wesleyan University Survey Lab/YouGov | — LV | D+23.0 | D+21.9 | release via votehub |
| Sep 17, 2026 – Sep 21, 2026 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 540 LV | D+17.0 | D+17.4 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 16, 2026 – Sep 17, 2026 | co/efficient R | 979 LV | D+7.0 | D+10.7 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 8, 2026 – Sep 14, 2026 | Quinnipiac University | 1,288 LV | D+17.0 | D+15.2 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 1, 2026 – Sep 8, 2026 | GreatBlue Research | 1,000 RV | D+14.0 | D+13.0 | release via wikipedia |
| Aug 20, 2026 – Aug 24, 2026 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 809 LV | D+15.0 | D+15.3 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Jul 21, 2026 – Jul 26, 2026 | GreatBlue Research | 1,000 RV | D+20.2 | D+19.2 | release via votehub |
| Jul 21, 2026 – Jul 26, 2026 | Sacred Heart University / WFSB / CT Insider | 1,000 RV | D+20.0 | D+19.1 | release via wikipedia |
| Jun 18, 2026 – Jun 23, 2026 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | 828 LV | D+13.0 | D+13.3 | release via votehub,wikipedia |