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Quinnipiac University

33 polls analyzed · population: 26 RV, 7 LV

Election house effect
D+1.9
95%: R+0.1 to D+3.9 · 14 polls, 5 races
Approval house effect
−5.3 net approval
95%: −7.1 net approval to −3.6 net approval · 19 polls, 1 race

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 1.03).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Trump job approval: consistency

Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.79).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
YouGov104.11.9 to 6.21.7
Morning Consult95.13.7 to 6.44.1
Ipsos57.66.0 to 9.03.9
Emerson College55.13.1 to 6.82.0
Quantus Insights44.52.8 to 5.73.5
Verasight42.3-0.4 to 5.30.1
Echelon Insights44.01.5 to 6.52.8
McLaughlin & Associates37.03.0 to 11.05.6
co/efficient39.77.0 to 12.05.5
John Zogby Strategies33.8-3.6 to 11.01.5

Trump job approval

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
Morning Consult47-9.0-10.0 to -8.2-9.1
YouGov44-3.8-4.9 to -2.7-3.9
Ipsos261.2-0.3 to 2.9-0.6
RMG Research23-14.0-15.8 to -12.3-13.3
Echelon Insights19-5.4-7.2 to -3.7-4.6
J.L. Partners15-11.7-14.7 to -9.1-10.6
Quantus Insights15-10.6-12.7 to -8.7-9.2
Verasight14-0.3-2.1 to 1.9-1.2
Global Strategy Group14-2.4-3.9 to -0.9-2.6
AP-NORC135.51.7 to 8.83.9
American Research Group129.87.3 to 12.57.3
Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.)10-3.7-6.0 to -1.3-3.7
Emerson College10-10.3-12.6 to -7.9-8.7
ActiVote10-6.3-8.0 to -4.5-7.2
TIPP Insights9-8.0-10.4 to -5.4-8.7
John Zogby Strategies8-8.6-10.8 to -6.7-7.8
HarrisX8-12.8-13.9 to -11.6-11.7
Gallup72.70.0 to 5.61.5
Marist Poll6-1.3-3.7 to 1.3-1.4
McLaughlin & Associates6-12.0-14.7 to -9.0-8.9
AtlasIntel6-2.8-7.2 to 1.6-3.3
Marquette Law School Poll6-3.5-8.0 to 1.7-3.3
NBC News (Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies)6-5.3-8.0 to -2.5-6.5
Pew Research Center55.62.4 to 8.64.8
Clarity Campaign Labs5-9.6-13.2 to -6.0-7.1
CNN/SSRS53.00.4 to 5.22.3
Big Data Poll5-10.4-13.7 to -6.7-10.9
SurveyMonkey40.5-5.0 to 6.0-1.1
InsiderAdvantage4-21.4-26.3 to -16.3-18.2
Navigator Research (GSG/GBAO)4-3.0-7.0 to 0.0-3.4
Tavern Research4-4.5-5.5 to -3.5-5.1
UMass Amherst/YouGov32.7-5.0 to 11.01.2
The Winston Group31.3-2.0 to 3.0-1.0
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research3-4.3-8.0 to 2.0-4.0
Leger3-2.7-7.0 to 0.0-3.5
The Bullfinch Group3-2.7-3.0 to -2.0-5.0
The New York Times/Siena3-1.7-5.0 to 2.0-1.7
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage3-17.3-24.1 to -12.6-12.1
GBAO3-1.7-5.0 to 4.0-3.9

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Sep 27, 2026Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,032 RV−27.0 net approval−1.6release
Jun 22, 2026Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,165 RV−17.0 net approval+0.4release
May 18, 2026Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,106 RV−24.0 net approval−6.5release
Apr 13, 2026Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,028 RV−17.0 net approval−0.5release
Mar 23, 2026Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,191 RV−18.0 net approval−2.5release
Mar 8, 2026Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,002 RV−20.0 net approval−5.9release
Feb 2, 2026Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,191 RV−19.0 net approval−5.8release
Jan 12, 2026Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,133 RV−14.0 net approval−2.7release
Dec 15, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,035 RV−14.0 net approval−3.4release
Oct 20, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,327 RV−14.0 net approval−5.1release
Sep 21, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,276 RV−16.0 net approval−8.0release
Aug 25, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,220 RV−18.0 net approval−9.8release
Jul 14, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,290 RV−14.0 net approval−6.3release
Jun 24, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)979 RV−13.0 net approval−6.1release
Jun 9, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,265 RV−16.0 net approval−10.0release
Apr 7, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,407 RV−12.0 net approval−8.2release
Mar 10, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,198 RV−11.0 net approval−9.7release
Feb 17, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,039 RV−4.0 net approval−5.9release
Jan 27, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,019 RV+3.0 net approval−3.5release
Oct 12, 20262026 Connecticut Governor702 LVD+20.0D+2.2release
Oct 5, 20262026 Pennsylvania Governor1,159 LVD+25.0D+2.4release
Sep 20, 20262026 New York Governor1,026 LVD+19.0D+8.3release
Sep 14, 20262026 Connecticut Governor1,288 LVD+17.0D+0.6release
Jul 13, 20262026 Pennsylvania Governor895 RVD+13.0R+7.5release
May 18, 20262026 Generic congressional ballot1,106 RVD+11.0D+4.8release
Mar 23, 20262026 Generic congressional ballot1,191 RVD+11.0D+5.6release
Feb 23, 20262026 Pennsylvania Governor836 RVD+18.0R+0.5release
Dec 15, 20252026 Generic congressional ballot1,035 RVD+4.0D+0.3release
Oct 28, 20252025 New Jersey Governor1,166 LVD+8.0D+2.5release
Oct 20, 20252026 Generic congressional ballot1,327 RVD+9.0D+5.6release
Oct 13, 20252025 New Jersey Governor1,327 LVD+7.0D+1.6release
Sep 29, 20252026 Pennsylvania Governor1,579 RVD+16.0R+0.1release
Sep 15, 20252025 New Jersey Governor1,238 LVD+9.0D+2.8release