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2026 New York Governor

Margin = Kathy Hochul − Bruce Blakeman. 28 polls from 16 pollsters. Consensus as of Oct 7, 2026: D+10.7(95% band D+7.2 to D+14.4).

Polls and consensus

Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band

How each pollster compares in this race

Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.

PollsterPolls hereAvg. vs consensus hereOverall house effect
GrayHouse1R+6.7R+1.8
Red Oak Strategic1R+6.6R+2.5
McLaughlin & Associates2R+6.0R+3.7
J.L. Partners1R+5.0D+0.1
Pollfinity2R+4.8R+0.6
co/efficient2R+4.3R+3.6
MAD Global Strategy1R+2.4R+0.1
John Zogby Strategies1R+1.8D+0.5
Marist Poll2D+1.1D+2.4
Echelon Insights1D+1.3R+0.8
Moxie Strategies1D+1.5D+0.4
Emerson College1D+2.0R+0.1
Siena Research Institute9D+4.6D+2.8
Concord Public Opinion Partners1D+5.5D+3.2
Quinnipiac University1D+8.3D+1.9
Beacon Research1D+11.2D+1.5

All polls

Field datesPollsterSampleResultHouse-effect adjustedSource
Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 12, 2026Pollfinity499 RVD+3.0D+3.6release via wikipedia
Oct 1, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026Beacon Research820 RVD+22.0D+20.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 3, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026Emerson College900 LVD+12.7D+12.9release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 1, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026Marist Poll1,361 RVD+11.0D+8.6release via wikipedia
Sep 23, 2026 – Sep 25, 2026co/efficient R1,046 LVD+7.0D+10.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 17, 2026 – Sep 20, 2026Quinnipiac University1,026 LVD+19.0D+17.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 11, 2026 – Sep 17, 2026Siena Research Institute1,144 LVD+9.0D+6.3release via wikipedia
Aug 27, 2026 – Aug 31, 2026McLaughlin & Associates R800 LVD+4.0D+8.7release via wikipedia
Aug 19, 2026 – Aug 21, 2026Concord Public Opinion Partners D505 LVD+16.0D+12.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Aug 3, 2026 – Aug 6, 2026Siena Research Institute811 LVD+10.0D+7.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Jul 22, 2026 – Jul 28, 2026Moxie Strategies813 RVD+12.0D+11.6release via wikipedia
Jul 7, 2026 – Jul 12, 2026Red Oak Strategic R2,000 RVD+4.0D+6.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Jun 30, 2026 – Jul 2, 2026co/efficient R1,085 LVD+6.0D+9.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Jun 17, 2026 – Jun 23, 2026Siena Research Institute1,120 RVD+20.0D+17.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Jun 11, 2026 – Jun 14, 2026Pollfinity229 LVD+10.0D+10.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Apr 27, 2026 – Apr 30, 2026Siena Research Institute806 RVD+16.0D+13.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Mar 24, 2026 – Mar 26, 2026Echelon Insights500 RVD+15.0D+15.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Mar 23, 2026 – Mar 26, 2026Siena Research Institute804 RVD+13.0D+10.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Mar 4, 2026 – Mar 8, 2026McLaughlin & Associates R800 LVD+9.0D+13.7release via wikipedia
Feb 23, 2026 – Feb 26, 2026Siena Research Institute805 RVD+20.0D+17.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Feb 16, 2026 – Feb 19, 2026Marist Poll1,442 RVD+17.0D+14.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Feb 2, 2026 – Feb 4, 2026MAD Global Strategy D600 LVD+13.0D+12.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Jan 26, 2026 – Jan 28, 2026Siena Research Institute802 RVD+26.0D+23.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Jan 6, 2026 – Jan 8, 2026John Zogby Strategies844 LVD+14.0D+14.0release via votehub,wikipedia
Dec 8, 2025 – Dec 12, 2025Siena Research Institute801 RVD+25.0D+22.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Nov 9, 2025 – Nov 10, 2025J.L. Partners R500 LVD+11.0D+12.1release via votehub,wikipedia
Jun 23, 2025 – Jun 26, 2025Siena Research Institute800 RVD+25.0D+22.2release via wikipedia
Apr 22, 2025 – Apr 24, 2025GrayHouse R600 RVD+8.0D+9.8release via votehub,wikipedia