SurveyMonkey
8 polls analyzed · population: 8 A
Approval house effect
−4.2 net approval
95%: −5.9 net approval to −2.7 net approval · 8 polls, 1 race
Trump job approval: consistency
Its polls bounce around more than sample sizes explain (dispersion 4.79, p < 0.001).
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Trump job approval
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 15 | -4.0 | -5.7 to -2.5 | -2.8 |
| Morning Consult | 15 | -9.4 | -11.4 to -7.3 | -8.0 |
| TIPP Insights | 8 | -8.5 | -10.8 to -6.1 | -7.6 |
| RMG Research | 8 | -14.4 | -17.1 to -11.4 | -12.2 |
| AP-NORC | 7 | 3.7 | -0.9 to 8.3 | 5.0 |
| Ipsos | 7 | 0.3 | -0.6 to 1.1 | 0.5 |
| J.L. Partners | 6 | -13.5 | -18.7 to -8.8 | -9.5 |
| Verasight | 6 | -1.7 | -4.8 to 1.5 | -0.1 |
| Quantus Insights | 6 | -8.5 | -10.0 to -7.1 | -8.1 |
| Global Strategy Group | 5 | -3.2 | -6.4 to 0.0 | -1.5 |
| John Zogby Strategies | 5 | -9.4 | -10.8 to -8.2 | -6.7 |
| HarrisX | 5 | -12.0 | -14.4 to -8.8 | -10.5 |
| Quinnipiac University | 4 | -0.5 | -6.0 to 5.0 | 1.1 |
| American Research Group | 3 | 5.7 | 0.0 to 9.0 | 8.4 |
| GBAO | 3 | -5.3 | -8.0 to -3.0 | -2.7 |
| Echelon Insights | 3 | -9.7 | -13.0 to -6.0 | -3.5 |
| Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.) | 3 | -2.3 | -4.0 to 1.0 | -2.6 |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | 3 | -6.7 | -7.0 to -6.0 | -6.0 |
| The Bullfinch Group | 3 | -5.0 | -8.0 to -2.0 | -3.8 |
| ActiVote | 3 | -5.1 | -7.3 to -3.9 | -6.0 |
| Pew Research Center | 3 | 7.3 | 6.0 to 9.0 | 5.9 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 19,135 A | −32.0 net approval | −5.7 | release |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 32,433 A | −26.0 net approval | −9.5 | release |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 21,995 A | −22.0 net approval | −8.8 | release |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 20,252 A | −16.0 net approval | −4.7 | release |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 20,807 A | −12.0 net approval | −4.8 | release |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 30,196 A | −14.0 net approval | −5.8 | release |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 19,410 A | −10.0 net approval | −4.0 | release |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 19,682 A | −10.0 net approval | −3.8 | release |