American Research Group
18 polls analyzed · population: 2 A, 16 RV
Approval house effect
−12.7 net approval
95%: −14.5 net approval to −10.7 net approval · 18 polls, 1 race
Trump job approval: consistency
Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 1.24).
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Trump job approval
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 38 | -11.0 | -12.4 to -9.7 | -11.2 |
| Morning Consult | 35 | -16.7 | -18.7 to -14.3 | -16.4 |
| Ipsos | 26 | -6.6 | -8.2 to -4.9 | -7.9 |
| Quantus Insights | 20 | -16.6 | -18.3 to -14.9 | -16.6 |
| Echelon Insights | 19 | -13.6 | -15.2 to -11.8 | -11.9 |
| RMG Research | 17 | -20.5 | -23.2 to -17.7 | -20.6 |
| ActiVote | 15 | -13.1 | -15.3 to -10.6 | -14.5 |
| Verasight | 14 | -9.8 | -11.2 to -8.3 | -8.5 |
| Emerson College | 13 | -18.1 | -19.1 to -16.8 | -16.0 |
| Quinnipiac University | 12 | -9.8 | -12.5 to -7.3 | -7.3 |
| Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.) | 11 | -11.3 | -14.0 to -7.9 | -11.0 |
| J.L. Partners | 11 | -18.6 | -22.7 to -13.7 | -17.9 |
| AP-NORC | 10 | -3.0 | -7.7 to 1.9 | -3.4 |
| Global Strategy Group | 9 | -9.3 | -11.9 to -6.7 | -9.9 |
| The Bullfinch Group | 8 | -10.8 | -15.0 to -7.6 | -12.3 |
| HarrisX | 7 | -20.7 | -24.9 to -16.6 | -19.0 |
| Big Data Poll | 7 | -19.4 | -21.6 to -17.0 | -18.2 |
| Marquette Law School Poll | 7 | -12.6 | -16.9 to -7.9 | -10.6 |
| John Zogby Strategies | 7 | -17.7 | -21.5 to -13.7 | -15.1 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 6 | -29.2 | -32.8 to -25.3 | -25.5 |
| AtlasIntel | 6 | -8.1 | -11.7 to -5.0 | -10.6 |
| McLaughlin & Associates | 6 | -20.8 | -27.8 to -13.9 | -16.2 |
| CNN/SSRS | 5 | -2.0 | -4.8 to 1.4 | -5.1 |
| Marist Poll | 5 | -8.8 | -11.2 to -5.2 | -8.7 |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | 4 | -14.8 | -18.8 to -9.5 | -14.4 |
| Tavern Research | 4 | -16.0 | -18.0 to -14.5 | -12.4 |
| The New York Times/Siena | 4 | -8.0 | -12.0 to -1.5 | -9.0 |
| GBAO | 4 | -9.8 | -13.3 to -5.0 | -11.2 |
| SurveyMonkey | 3 | -5.7 | -9.0 to 0.0 | -8.4 |
| Pew Research Center | 3 | -3.0 | -4.0 to -2.0 | -2.6 |
| The Winston Group | 3 | -6.7 | -8.0 to -6.0 | -8.3 |
| NBC News (Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies) | 3 | -10.0 | -14.0 to -3.0 | -13.8 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,100 A | −39.0 net approval | −14.1 | release |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,006 RV | −37.0 net approval | −19.6 | release |
| May 20, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,009 RV | −34.0 net approval | −15.9 | release |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,010 RV | −32.0 net approval | −14.9 | release |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,008 RV | −29.0 net approval | −13.5 | release |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,000 RV | −26.0 net approval | −12.3 | release |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,100 A | −28.0 net approval | −16.0 | release |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 999 RV | −27.0 net approval | −15.9 | release |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 999 RV | −27.0 net approval | −14.8 | release |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,001 RV | −23.0 net approval | −14.1 | release |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,002 RV | −21.0 net approval | −12.9 | release |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,004 RV | −22.0 net approval | −13.8 | release |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,006 RV | −21.0 net approval | −12.7 | release |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,009 RV | −21.0 net approval | −13.8 | release |
| May 20, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,008 RV | −13.0 net approval | −7.6 | release |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,010 RV | −10.0 net approval | −3.8 | release |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,011 RV | −5.0 net approval | −2.9 | release |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,004 RV | −8.0 net approval | −9.5 | release |