AP-NORC
18 polls analyzed · population: 18 A
Approval house effect
−9.2 net approval
95%: −11.2 net approval to −7.2 net approval · 18 polls, 1 race
Trump job approval: consistency
Its polls bounce around more than sample sizes explain (dispersion 2.07, p = 0.010).
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Trump job approval
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 43 | -9.2 | -10.7 to -7.6 | -7.8 |
| Morning Consult | 41 | -14.0 | -15.6 to -12.5 | -12.9 |
| Ipsos | 24 | -4.0 | -5.9 to -2.0 | -4.5 |
| RMG Research | 19 | -18.9 | -21.6 to -16.1 | -17.2 |
| Quantus Insights | 16 | -15.0 | -17.1 to -12.7 | -13.1 |
| Global Strategy Group | 15 | -9.3 | -11.0 to -7.5 | -6.5 |
| Quinnipiac University | 13 | -5.5 | -8.8 to -1.7 | -3.9 |
| Echelon Insights | 13 | -10.2 | -12.7 to -7.8 | -8.5 |
| Verasight | 13 | -5.7 | -8.8 to -2.3 | -5.1 |
| J.L. Partners | 12 | -16.3 | -19.8 to -13.1 | -14.5 |
| Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.) | 12 | -8.4 | -11.2 to -5.6 | -7.6 |
| ActiVote | 11 | -11.1 | -13.9 to -8.3 | -11.0 |
| American Research Group | 10 | 3.0 | -1.9 to 7.7 | 3.4 |
| Emerson College | 9 | -15.5 | -18.5 to -12.0 | -12.6 |
| John Zogby Strategies | 8 | -15.1 | -18.5 to -11.0 | -11.7 |
| Marquette Law School Poll | 8 | -9.3 | -12.3 to -6.1 | -7.1 |
| HarrisX | 8 | -17.9 | -22.3 to -13.8 | -15.5 |
| Gallup | 7 | -2.9 | -6.3 to 0.1 | -2.4 |
| SurveyMonkey | 7 | -3.7 | -8.3 to 0.9 | -5.0 |
| TIPP Insights | 6 | -10.0 | -12.5 to -7.2 | -12.6 |
| Big Data Poll | 5 | -16.7 | -20.1 to -12.1 | -14.8 |
| NBC News (Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies) | 4 | -16.0 | -17.5 to -14.5 | -10.3 |
| GBAO | 4 | -11.3 | -12.8 to -9.0 | -7.7 |
| CNN/SSRS | 4 | -1.5 | -4.5 to 1.0 | -1.6 |
| Navigator Research (GSG/GBAO) | 4 | -10.0 | -12.0 to -7.5 | -7.3 |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | 4 | -15.5 | -21.0 to -10.5 | -10.9 |
| Marist Poll | 4 | -6.0 | -9.5 to -2.5 | -5.3 |
| The Bullfinch Group | 4 | -12.3 | -14.0 to -10.5 | -8.8 |
| AtlasIntel | 3 | -10.0 | -13.7 to -7.4 | -7.2 |
| Pew Research Center | 3 | -2.7 | -4.0 to 0.0 | 0.9 |
| McLaughlin & Associates | 3 | -18.4 | -21.0 to -16.0 | -12.8 |
| Focaldata | 3 | -7.7 | -13.0 to -3.0 | -10.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena | 3 | -4.7 | -8.0 to -3.0 | -5.6 |
| Tavern Research | 3 | -13.0 | -17.0 to -8.0 | -9.0 |
| The Winston Group | 3 | -5.0 | -7.0 to -1.0 | -4.9 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,119 A | −28.0 net approval | −1.7 | release |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 2,140 A | −38.0 net approval | −12.7 | release |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 3,040 A | −25.0 net approval | −7.8 | release |
| May 18, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,117 A | −25.0 net approval | −7.5 | release |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 2,596 A | −34.0 net approval | −16.9 | release |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,150 A | −22.0 net approval | −6.5 | release |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,156 A | −26.0 net approval | −12.8 | release |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,203 A | −19.0 net approval | −7.7 | release |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,146 A | −25.0 net approval | −14.2 | release |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,143 A | −26.0 net approval | −13.8 | release |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,289 A | −24.0 net approval | −14.9 | release |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,183 A | −14.0 net approval | −6.8 | release |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,182 A | −8.0 net approval | +0.1 | release |
| Jul 14, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,437 A | −18.0 net approval | −10.3 | release |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,158 A | −21.0 net approval | −15.0 | release |
| May 5, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,175 A | −16.0 net approval | −9.7 | release |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,260 A | −20.0 net approval | −13.8 | release |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,229 A | −14.0 net approval | −11.9 | release |