Pew Research Center
9 polls analyzed · population: 1 RV, 8 A
Election house effect
D+0.3
95%: R+2.6 to D+3.2 · 1 polls, 1 race
Approval house effect
−10.1 net approval
95%: −11.7 net approval to −8.4 net approval · 8 polls, 1 race
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Trump job approval: consistency
Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.93).
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Trump job approval
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 16 | -9.1 | -10.9 to -7.4 | -8.7 |
| Morning Consult | 14 | -15.8 | -17.9 to -13.4 | -13.8 |
| RMG Research | 9 | -18.0 | -20.9 to -15.2 | -18.0 |
| TIPP Insights | 8 | -13.6 | -16.1 to -11.5 | -13.5 |
| Quantus Insights | 8 | -15.9 | -17.2 to -14.2 | -14.0 |
| HarrisX | 6 | -18.0 | -21.7 to -14.8 | -16.4 |
| Global Strategy Group | 6 | -8.5 | -10.5 to -6.3 | -7.4 |
| Ipsos | 5 | -4.8 | -7.0 to -3.2 | -5.4 |
| Echelon Insights | 5 | -11.8 | -14.0 to -9.6 | -9.4 |
| Verasight | 5 | -7.4 | -9.4 to -4.8 | -6.0 |
| Quinnipiac University | 5 | -5.6 | -8.6 to -2.4 | -4.8 |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | 5 | -13.6 | -16.2 to -10.8 | -11.8 |
| Gallup | 4 | -4.8 | -8.3 to -1.5 | -3.3 |
| Emerson College | 3 | -13.6 | -15.9 to -11.3 | -13.4 |
| Tavern Research | 3 | -10.7 | -15.0 to -7.0 | -9.8 |
| NBC News (Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies) | 3 | -13.7 | -17.0 to -12.0 | -11.2 |
| American Research Group | 3 | 3.0 | 2.0 to 4.0 | 2.6 |
| J.L. Partners | 3 | -16.7 | -25.0 to -11.0 | -15.3 |
| Navigator Research (GSG/GBAO) | 3 | -9.3 | -12.0 to -6.0 | -8.2 |
| AP-NORC | 3 | 2.7 | 0.0 to 4.0 | -0.9 |
| ActiVote | 3 | -12.8 | -15.3 to -10.1 | -11.9 |
| Marquette Law School Poll | 3 | -6.0 | -10.0 to 0.0 | -8.0 |
| Marist Poll | 3 | -7.7 | -10.0 to -6.0 | -6.2 |
| SurveyMonkey | 3 | -7.3 | -9.0 to -6.0 | -5.9 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 5,062 A | −38.0 net approval | −12.1 | release |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 5,103 A | −30.0 net approval | −12.6 | release |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 8,512 A | −24.0 net approval | −11.4 | release |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 3,445 A | −18.0 net approval | −9.6 | release |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 3,554 A | −22.0 net approval | −13.2 | release |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 5,044 A | −17.0 net approval | −11.0 | release |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 3,589 A | −19.0 net approval | −13.6 | release |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 5,086 A | −4.0 net approval | −8.1 | release |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 3,917 RV | D+8.0 | D+0.5 | release |