Leger
6 polls analyzed · population: 6 A
Election house effect
D+0.8
95%: R+2.7 to D+4.2 · 1 polls, 1 race
Approval house effect
−1.8 net approval
95%: −5.0 net approval to +1.5 net approval · 5 polls, 1 race
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Trump job approval: consistency
Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.35).
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 3 | 5.0 | 5.0 to 5.0 | 0.5 |
Trump job approval
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | 15 | -7.2 | -8.0 to -6.5 | -5.5 |
| YouGov | 15 | -0.6 | -1.5 to 0.3 | -0.4 |
| Global Strategy Group | 5 | 0.0 | -1.4 to 1.6 | 0.9 |
| RMG Research | 5 | -13.4 | -15.8 to -11.0 | -9.7 |
| TIPP Insights | 4 | -7.5 | -11.5 to -3.5 | -5.2 |
| Ipsos | 4 | 4.5 | 2.5 to 7.5 | 2.9 |
| Quantus Insights | 4 | -8.5 | -11.0 to -5.6 | -5.7 |
| Echelon Insights | 3 | -3.7 | -6.0 to -1.0 | -1.1 |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | 3 | -7.0 | -9.0 to -5.0 | -3.5 |
| Verasight | 3 | 4.3 | 2.0 to 7.0 | 2.3 |
| Quinnipiac University | 3 | 2.7 | 0.0 to 7.0 | 3.5 |
| NBC News (Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies) | 3 | -3.0 | -9.0 to 1.0 | -2.9 |
| John Zogby Strategies | 3 | -4.3 | -5.0 to -3.0 | -4.2 |
| Emerson College | 3 | -7.3 | -12.9 to -0.7 | -5.1 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,004 A | −17.0 net approval | +0.1 | release |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,010 A | −13.0 net approval | −2.8 | release |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,010 A | −12.0 net approval | −3.6 | release |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,014 A | −11.0 net approval | −3.5 | release |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,007 A | −14.0 net approval | −6.0 | release |
| Apr 20, 2026 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 1,004 A | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | release |