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2025 New Jersey Governor

Margin = Mikie Sherrill − Jack Ciattarelli. 45 polls from 30 pollsters. Consensus as of Nov 5, 2025: D+5.2(95% band D+2.4 to D+8.0).

Polls and consensus

Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band

How each pollster compares in this race

Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.

PollsterPolls hereAvg. vs consensus hereOverall house effect
National Research Inc.3R+5.5R+2.5
Neighborhood Research and Media1R+5.4R+1.5
co/efficient1R+4.5R+3.6
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage1R+4.4R+2.8
AtlasIntel1R+4.4D+3.5
InsiderAdvantage1R+4.3R+0.9
Emerson College2R+4.2R+0.1
Valcour/Save Jersey1R+3.5R+1.7
Research Co.1R+3.2R+0.6
KAConsulting2R+2.7R+1.5
StimSight Research1R+1.4R+0.1
Cygnal1R+1.3R+0.8
Suffolk University1R+1.3D+1.1
A2 Insights2R+0.9R+0.3
Quantus Insights3R+0.6R+1.6
TIPP Insights1D+0.3D+0.1
Public Policy Polling1D+0.5D+0.4
Rasmussen Reports1D+0.6R+0.2
Fairleigh Dickinson University2D+1.1D+0.6
Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.)3D+1.3D+0.6
Global Strategy Group1D+1.4D+0.7
yes. every kid.1D+1.4D+0.7
SoCal Strategies1D+1.7R+0.7
Quinnipiac University3D+2.3D+1.9
Concord Public Opinion Partners1D+3.6D+3.2
SurveyUSA1D+4.2R+1.1
John Zogby Strategies2D+4.4D+0.5
YouGov1D+4.5D+0.3
Rutgers-Eagleton3D+4.6D+2.2
GQR1D+6.6D+1.6

All polls

Field datesPollsterSampleResultHouse-effect adjustedSource
Nov 2, 2025 – Nov 3, 2025Research Co.450 LVD+2.0D+2.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 31, 2025 – Nov 3, 2025John Zogby Strategies D1,205 RVD+11.6D+10.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 25, 2025 – Oct 30, 2025AtlasIntel1,639 LVD+0.9R+2.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 28, 2025 – Oct 29, 2025SoCal Strategies R800 LVD+7.0D+8.0release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 26, 2025 – Oct 29, 2025Suffolk University500 LVD+4.0D+3.0release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 24, 2025 – Oct 28, 2025Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.) R956 LVD+7.0D+6.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 25, 2025 – Oct 28, 2025Emerson College1,000 LVD+2.0D+2.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 23, 2025 – Oct 28, 2025Quinnipiac University1,166 LVD+8.0D+6.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 17, 2025 – Oct 28, 2025YouGov1,153 LVD+10.0D+9.8release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 26, 2025 – Oct 27, 2025Quantus Insights R1,380 LVD+3.3D+5.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 23, 2025 – Oct 27, 2025co/efficient R995 LVD+1.0D+4.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 24, 2025 – Oct 26, 2025A2 Insights812 LVD+4.9D+5.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 15, 2025 – Oct 20, 2025GQR D1,000 LVD+12.0D+10.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 16, 2025 – Oct 18, 2025Concord Public Opinion Partners D605 LVD+9.0D+5.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 3, 2025 – Oct 17, 2025Rutgers-Eagleton795 LVD+5.0D+2.9release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 15, 2025 – Oct 16, 2025KAConsulting R601 RVD+3.0D+4.5release via wikipedia
Oct 14, 2025 – Oct 15, 2025Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage R800 LVD+1.0D+3.9release via wikipedia
Oct 14, 2025 – Oct 15, 2025InsiderAdvantage800 LVD+1.1D+1.0release via votehub
Oct 9, 2025 – Oct 15, 2025Fairleigh Dickinson University814 LVD+7.0D+6.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 10, 2025 – Oct 14, 2025Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.) R869 LVD+5.0D+4.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 9, 2025 – Oct 13, 2025Quinnipiac University1,327 LVD+7.0D+5.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 8, 2025 – Oct 9, 2025Rasmussen Reports R955 LVD+6.0D+6.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 6, 2025 – Oct 9, 2025Neighborhood Research and Media R311 LVEvenD+1.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 2, 2025 – Oct 3, 2025Public Policy Polling D703 RVD+6.0D+5.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 30, 2025 – Oct 2, 2025John Zogby Strategies D912 LVD+8.0D+6.8release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 29, 2025 – Sep 30, 2025Quantus Insights R900 LVD+2.3D+4.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 25, 2025 – Sep 28, 2025Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.) R822 LVD+8.0D+7.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 22, 2025 – Sep 25, 2025Global Strategy Group D800 LVD+7.0D+6.4release via wikipedia
Sep 23, 2025 – Sep 24, 2025Valcour/Save Jersey R1,274 LVD+2.0D+3.8release via wikipedia
Sep 22, 2025 – Sep 23, 2025Emerson College935 LVD+0.4D+0.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 20, 2025 – Sep 22, 2025yes. every kid.704 LVD+7.0D+6.4release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 16, 2025 – Sep 18, 2025National Research Inc. R600 LVR+1.0D+1.6release via wikipedia
Sep 11, 2025 – Sep 15, 2025Quinnipiac University1,238 LVD+9.0D+7.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 8, 2025 – Sep 10, 2025National Research Inc. R600 LVD+2.0D+4.6release via wikipedia
Sep 2, 2025 – Sep 4, 2025Quantus Insights R600 LVD+10.0D+12.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Aug 25, 2025 – Aug 28, 2025TIPP Insights R1,349 LVD+7.0D+7.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Jul 31, 2025 – Aug 11, 2025Rutgers-Eagleton1,650 LVD+10.0D+7.9release via votehub,wikipedia
Jul 29, 2025 – Aug 2, 2025A2 Insights629 LVD+6.0D+6.4release via wikipedia
Jul 18, 2025 – Jul 24, 2025StimSight Research1,108 LVD+6.0D+6.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Jul 17, 2025 – Jul 23, 2025Fairleigh Dickinson University806 LVD+8.0D+7.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Jun 24, 2025 – Jun 27, 2025KAConsulting R800 LVD+5.0D+6.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Jun 19, 2025 – Jun 20, 2025Cygnal R500 LVD+7.0D+8.7release via wikipedia
Jun 13, 2025 – Jun 16, 2025Rutgers-Eagleton621 LVD+20.0D+17.9release via wikipedia
Jun 11, 2025 – Jun 12, 2025National Research Inc. R600 LVD+3.0D+5.6release via wikipedia
May 28, 2025 – May 30, 2025SurveyUSA D576 LVD+13.0D+13.1release via votehub,wikipedia