Research Co.
7 polls analyzed · population: 2 LV, 5 A
Election house effect
R+0.6
95%: R+3.3 to D+2.1 · 4 polls, 3 races
Approval house effect
+0.3 net approval
95%: −3.9 net approval to +4.5 net approval · 3 polls, 1 race
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Trump job approval: consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | 4 | -2.4 | -4.5 to -0.2 | -0.5 |
| Quantus Insights | 4 | -0.6 | -1.1 to -0.2 | 1.1 |
| YouGov | 4 | 1.5 | 1.0 to 2.0 | -0.8 |
| Morning Consult | 4 | 2.5 | 1.1 to 4.0 | 1.6 |
Trump job approval
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | 5 | -7.1 | -9.3 to -4.8 | -3.4 |
| YouGov | 5 | 2.2 | -0.2 to 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Ipsos | 4 | 3.3 | -0.3 to 5.5 | 5.0 |
| RMG Research | 4 | -8.3 | -12.0 to -5.5 | -7.6 |
| Emerson College | 3 | -3.3 | -3.8 to -2.9 | -3.0 |
| Quantus Insights | 3 | -6.0 | -10.0 to -2.9 | -3.6 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,001 A | −19.0 net approval | −0.9 | release |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,002 A | −11.0 net approval | +1.0 | release |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,001 A | +4.0 net approval | −2.5 | release |
| Jun 6, 2026 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 1,001 A | D+5.0 | R+0.8 | release |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 1,002 A | D+6.0 | D+1.6 | release |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2025 Virginia Governor | 450 LV | D+8.0 | R+1.2 | release |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2025 New Jersey Governor | 450 LV | D+2.0 | R+3.2 | release |