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2025 Virginia Governor

Margin = Abigail Spanberger − Winsome Earle-Sears. 56 polls from 30 pollsters. Consensus as of Nov 5, 2025: D+9.2(95% band D+6.8 to D+11.6).

Polls and consensus

Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band

How each pollster compares in this race

Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.

PollsterPolls hereAvg. vs consensus hereOverall house effect
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage2R+5.6R+2.8
Pantheon Insight/HarrisX1R+5.2R+0.7
co/efficient6R+4.3R+3.6
Pulse Decision Science1R+4.0R+1.8
Trafalgar Group3R+3.8R+1.5
OnMessage1R+3.7R+1.2
A2 Insights2R+3.1R+0.3
Cygnal3R+2.6R+0.8
Research America1R+2.5R+0.5
Quantus Insights2R+2.1R+1.6
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy1R+1.8R+1.1
Research Co.1R+1.2R+0.6
AtlasIntel1R+0.3D+3.5
Emerson College3R+0.2R+0.1
Suffolk University1R+0.2D+1.1
Wick Insights1EvenR+1.3
Christopher Newport University4D+0.7D+0.5
Public Policy Polling1D+0.7D+0.4
InsiderAdvantage1D+0.8R+0.9
Virginia Commonwealth University4D+1.1D+0.5
Kaplan Strategies1D+1.4R+0.8
Clarity Campaign Labs1D+1.4D+0.8
SoCal Strategies2D+2.0R+0.7
Echelon Insights1D+3.0R+0.8
Washington Post/George Mason University2D+3.5D+1.8
Roanoke College4D+3.5D+1.7
State Navigate2D+4.4D+1.9
American Directions1D+4.5D+1.1
American Directions Research Group/ AARP1D+4.5D+1.2
YouGov1D+6.2D+0.3

All polls

Field datesPollsterSampleResultHouse-effect adjustedSource
Nov 3, 2025 – Nov 3, 2025Quantus Insights R1,201 LVD+8.7D+10.9release via votehub,wikipedia
Nov 2, 2025 – Nov 3, 2025Research Co.450 LVD+8.0D+8.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Nov 2, 2025 – Nov 3, 2025InsiderAdvantage R800 LVD+10.0D+11.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Nov 1, 2025 – Nov 2, 2025Trafalgar Group R1,057 LVD+6.5D+8.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 30, 2025 – Oct 31, 2025Emerson College880 LVD+11.2D+11.4release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 28, 2025 – Oct 31, 2025Echelon Insights606 LVD+12.0D+12.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 25, 2025 – Oct 30, 2025AtlasIntel1,325 LVD+8.7D+5.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 28, 2025 – Oct 29, 2025SoCal Strategies R800 LVD+10.0D+11.0release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 27, 2025 – Oct 28, 2025Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage R800 LVD+4.1D+7.0release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 26, 2025 – Oct 28, 2025State Navigate614 LVD+13.3D+11.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 17, 2025 – Oct 28, 2025YouGov1,179 LVD+15.0D+14.8release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 25, 2025 – Oct 27, 2025Roanoke College1,041 LVD+10.0D+8.4release via votehub
Oct 24, 2025 – Oct 26, 2025A2 Insights776 LVD+8.1D+8.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 21, 2025 – Oct 23, 2025Christopher Newport University803 LVD+7.0D+6.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 19, 2025 – Oct 21, 2025Suffolk University500 LVD+8.6D+7.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 19, 2025 – Oct 20, 2025Quantus Insights R1,302 LVD+5.0D+7.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 16, 2025 – Oct 20, 2025Washington Post/George Mason University927 LVD+12.0D+10.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 17, 2025 – Oct 20, 2025State Navigate689 LVD+13.0D+11.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 16, 2025 – Oct 18, 2025Kaplan Strategies R556 LVD+10.0D+10.9release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 15, 2025 – Oct 17, 2025co/efficient R937 LVD+5.0D+8.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 14, 2025 – Oct 17, 2025Clarity Campaign Labs D958 LVD+10.0D+8.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 13, 2025 – Oct 15, 2025Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage R1,039 LVD+2.2D+5.1release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 6, 2025 – Oct 14, 2025Virginia Commonwealth University784 RVD+7.0D+6.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 8, 2025 – Oct 10, 2025Trafalgar Group R1,066 LVD+2.6D+4.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 7, 2025 – Oct 8, 2025Public Policy Polling D558 RVD+9.0D+8.5release via wikipedia
Oct 6, 2025 – Oct 7, 2025Cygnal R600 LVD+4.0D+5.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 29, 2025 – Oct 1, 2025Christopher Newport University805 LVD+10.0D+9.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 25, 2025 – Oct 1, 2025Trafalgar Group1,034 LVD+5.2D+5.5release via votehub
Sep 28, 2025 – Sep 29, 2025Emerson College725 LVD+9.9D+10.1release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 25, 2025 – Sep 29, 2025Washington Post/George Mason University1,002 LVD+12.0D+10.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 16, 2025 – Sep 28, 2025A2 Insights771 LVD+3.0D+3.4release via wikipedia
Sep 22, 2025 – Sep 23, 2025co/efficient R1,024 LVD+6.0D+9.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 15, 2025 – Sep 18, 2025OnMessage R800 LVD+5.0D+6.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 8, 2025 – Sep 14, 2025Christopher Newport University808 LVD+12.0D+11.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 7, 2025 – Sep 7, 2025Cygnal R— VD+7.0D+9.1release via wikipedia
Sep 3, 2025 – Sep 5, 2025Pulse Decision Science R512 LVD+5.0D+6.9release via wikipedia
Aug 31, 2025 – Sep 1, 2025SoCal Strategies R800 LVD+12.0D+13.0release via votehub,wikipedia
Aug 18, 2025 – Aug 28, 2025Virginia Commonwealth University764 RVD+8.3D+7.8release via votehub,wikipedia
Aug 23, 2025 – Aug 26, 2025co/efficient R1,025 LVD+5.0D+8.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Aug 11, 2025 – Aug 15, 2025Roanoke College602 LVD+7.0D+5.4release via votehub,wikipedia
Jul 9, 2025 – Jul 11, 2025Wick Insights R1,000 LVD+10.4D+12.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Jun 25, 2025 – Jul 8, 2025American Directions Research Group/ AARP1,001 LVD+15.0D+13.9release via wikipedia
Jun 25, 2025 – Jul 8, 2025American Directions1,000 LVD+15.0D+14.0release via votehub
Jun 19, 2025 – Jul 3, 2025Virginia Commonwealth University764 RVD+12.0D+11.5release via votehub
Jun 8, 2025 – Jun 10, 2025co/efficient R1,127 LVD+3.0D+6.7release via votehub,wikipedia
May 12, 2025 – May 19, 2025Roanoke College609 RVD+17.0D+15.3release via votehub,wikipedia
May 9, 2025 – May 13, 2025Pantheon Insight/HarrisX1,000 LVD+4.0D+4.8release via votehub,wikipedia
Feb 26, 2025 – Feb 27, 2025Cygnal R600 LVD+6.0D+7.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Feb 17, 2025 – Feb 20, 2025Roanoke College690 RVD+15.0D+13.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Jan 18, 2025 – Jan 20, 2025co/efficient R867 LVEvenD+3.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Dec 18, 2024 – Jan 15, 2025Virginia Commonwealth University806 AD+10.0D+7.8release via votehub,wikipedia
Jan 6, 2025 – Jan 13, 2025Christopher Newport University806 RVD+5.0D+4.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Jan 6, 2025 – Jan 8, 2025Emerson College1,000 RVD+0.8D+0.9release via votehub,wikipedia
Dec 15, 2024 – Dec 19, 2024Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy625 RVD+3.0D+4.1release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 3, 2024 – Sep 9, 2024Research America1,000 AEvenR+1.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 7, 2023 – Sep 10, 2023co/efficient R834 LVD+1.0D+4.7release via votehub,wikipedia