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Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy

8 polls analyzed · population: 7 LV, 1 RV

Election house effect
R+1.1
95%: R+3.5 to D+1.3 · 8 polls, 7 races

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its polls cluster more tightly around its own lean than sample sizes allow (dispersion 0.20, p = 0.010). That can mean herding, or heavy weighting and modeling.

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Oct 7, 20262026 Minnesota Senate800 LVD+4.0R+0.4release
Oct 7, 20262026 Minnesota Governor800 LVD+9.0R+0.5release
Oct 1, 20262026 Florida Senate625 LVR+10.0R+4.2release
Oct 1, 20262026 Florida Governor625 LVR+7.0R+3.2release
Sep 10, 20262026 Texas Senate625 LVD+3.0D+0.1release
Sep 10, 20262026 Texas Governor625 LVR+7.0R+4.2release
Jun 10, 20262026 Minnesota Governor800 LVD+8.0R+3.0release
Dec 19, 20242025 Virginia Governor625 RVD+3.0R+1.8release