2026 Minnesota Governor
Margin = Amy Klobuchar − Lisa Demuth. 11 polls from 7 pollsters. Consensus as of Oct 7, 2026: D+9.5(95% band D+6.2 to D+12.8).
Polls and consensus
Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band
How each pollster compares in this race
Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.
| Pollster | Polls here | Avg. vs consensus here | Overall house effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| co/efficient | 1 | R+7.6 | R+3.6 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2 | R+1.8 | R+1.1 |
| KARE 11 / Minnesota Star Tribune | 1 | R+0.5 | D+0.1 |
| Morning Consult | 1 | R+0.5 | R+2.1 |
| TIPP Insights | 1 | Even | D+0.1 |
| Emerson College | 1 | D+0.5 | R+0.1 |
| SurveyUSA | 4 | D+0.5 | R+1.1 |
All polls
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | House-effect adjusted | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 12, 2026 | SurveyUSA | 718 LV | D+7.0 | D+8.3 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Oct 5, 2026 – Oct 7, 2026 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 800 LV | D+9.0 | D+10.2 | release via votehub |
| Oct 5, 2026 – Oct 7, 2026 | KARE 11 / Minnesota Star Tribune | 800 LV | D+9.0 | D+9.0 | release via wikipedia |
| Oct 2, 2026 – Oct 7, 2026 | Morning Consult D | 1,000 RV | D+9.0 | D+10.0 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 14, 2026 – Sep 15, 2026 | co/efficient R | 833 LV | D+2.0 | D+5.7 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 9, 2026 – Sep 14, 2026 | SurveyUSA | 654 LV | D+7.0 | D+8.3 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 2, 2026 | TIPP Insights R | 1,201 LV | D+10.0 | D+10.2 | release via wikipedia |
| Aug 13, 2026 – Aug 17, 2026 | SurveyUSA | 661 LV | D+16.0 | D+17.3 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Jun 8, 2026 – Jun 10, 2026 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 800 LV | D+8.0 | D+9.2 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Feb 6, 2026 – Feb 8, 2026 | Emerson College | 1,000 LV | D+13.4 | D+13.6 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Jan 27, 2026 – Jan 30, 2026 | SurveyUSA | 575 RV | D+15.0 | D+16.1 | release via votehub,wikipedia |