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2026 Maine Senate

Margin = Troy Jackson − Susan Collins. 26 polls from 23 pollsters. Consensus as of Oct 14, 2026: D+2.2(95% band R+0.7 to D+5.0).

Polls and consensus

Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band

How each pollster compares in this race

Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.

PollsterPolls hereAvg. vs consensus hereOverall house effect
The New York Times/Siena1R+5.3R+0.2
co/efficient1R+4.1R+3.6
Z to A Research1R+3.4D+0.6
Quantus Insights1R+3.0R+1.6
Trafalgar Group1R+2.1R+1.5
CBS News/YouGov1R+2.1D+0.4
InsiderAdvantage2R+1.2R+0.9
Rasmussen Reports2R+0.8R+0.2
Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.)1R+0.6D+0.6
Suffolk University1R+0.1D+1.1
Maine People's Resource Center1R+0.1D+0.2
CNN/SSRS1D+0.2D+0.8
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research1D+0.8D+0.8
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2D+1.1R+0.2
YouGov1D+1.2D+0.3
Hart Research Associates1D+1.5D+1.2
Marist Poll1D+1.9D+2.4
Wedgewood Polls1D+1.9Even
UMass Amherst/YouGov1D+2.2D+0.1
UMass Lowell/YouGov1D+2.2R+0.7
Public Policy Polling1D+2.6D+0.4
Washington Post/George Mason University1D+2.9D+1.8
Abacus Data1D+6.2D+0.8

All polls

Field datesPollsterSampleResultHouse-effect adjustedSource
Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 14, 2026InsiderAdvantage R1,200 LVD+2.0D+3.2release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 11, 2026Suffolk University500 LVD+2.0D+0.9release via wikipedia
Oct 5, 2026 – Oct 8, 2026Rasmussen Reports R804 LVD+2.0D+2.5release via wikipedia
Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026Washington Post/George Mason University800 LVD+5.0D+3.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 1, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026Marist Poll1,505 RVD+4.0D+1.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 29, 2026 – Oct 1, 2026Trafalgar Group R1,091 LVEvenD+1.7release via wikipedia
Sep 27, 2026 – Oct 1, 2026Wedgewood Polls400 LVD+4.0D+4.1release via votehub
Sep 23, 2026 – Oct 1, 2026CBS News/YouGov1,136 LVEvenR+0.3release via wikipedia
Sep 28, 2026 – Sep 30, 2026co/efficient R1,240 LVR+2.0D+1.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 25, 2026 – Sep 29, 2026Maine People's Resource Center684 LVD+2.0D+1.9release via wikipedia
Sep 22, 2026 – Sep 23, 2026InsiderAdvantage R1,200 LVEvenD+1.2release via wikipedia
Sep 20, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research D982 LVD+3.0D+2.1release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 15, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026The New York Times/Siena619 LVR+3.0R+2.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 17, 2026 – Sep 21, 2026University of New Hampshire Survey Center1,312 LVD+4.0D+4.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 14, 2026 – Sep 15, 2026Quantus Insights R621 LVR+0.7D+1.6release via votehub,wikipedia
Aug 28, 2026 – Sep 14, 2026UMass Lowell/YouGov650 LVD+5.0D+5.8release via votehub
Aug 28, 2026 – Sep 14, 2026UMass Amherst/YouGov650 LVD+5.0D+5.0release via wikipedia
Sep 8, 2026 – Sep 10, 2026Rasmussen Reports R1,033 LVD+1.0D+1.5release via wikipedia
Sep 2, 2026 – Sep 8, 2026YouGov1,335 LVD+4.0D+3.9release via votehub,wikipedia
Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026CNN/SSRS880 LVD+3.0D+2.3release via wikipedia
Aug 26, 2026 – Aug 28, 2026Abacus Data327 LVD+9.0D+8.3release via wikipedia
Aug 6, 2026 – Aug 10, 2026Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.) R1,000 RVD+2.0D+1.5release via votehub,wikipedia
Jul 27, 2026 – Aug 1, 2026Hart Research Associates D802 LVD+4.0D+2.9release via votehub,wikipedia
Jul 15, 2026 – Jul 20, 2026University of New Hampshire Survey Center1,178 LVD+3.0D+3.4release via votehub,wikipedia
Jul 7, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026Z to A Research D988 LVR+1.0R+1.5release via wikipedia
Jul 7, 2026 – Jul 7, 2026Public Policy Polling D785 LVD+5.0D+4.6release via wikipedia