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Wedgewood Polls

11 polls analyzed · population: 11 LV

Election house effect
Even
95%: R+2.2 to D+2.2 · 11 polls, 11 races

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its polls cluster more tightly around its own lean than sample sizes allow (dispersion 0.08, p < 0.001). That can mean herding, or heavy weighting and modeling.

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.)4-1.8-4.5 to 1.3-0.6
Trafalgar Group32.72.0 to 4.01.5

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Oct 14, 20262026 Mississippi Senate511 LVR+4.0D+2.3release
Oct 3, 20262026 Georgia Senate600 LVD+10.0D+0.8release
Oct 3, 20262026 Georgia Governor600 LVR+2.0R+1.0release
Oct 1, 20262026 Maine Senate400 LVD+4.0D+1.9release
Sep 24, 20262026 Kansas Senate500 LVD+2.0D+1.1release
Sep 24, 20262026 Kansas Governor500 LVR+4.0R+0.9release
Aug 29, 20262026 Iowa Governor600 LVD+5.0R+1.8release
Aug 13, 20262026 Ohio Senate800 LVD+4.0D+0.2release
Aug 13, 20262026 Ohio Governor800 LVD+1.0R+0.8release
Jul 31, 20262026 Texas Senate800 LVD+2.0R+0.6release
Jul 31, 20262026 Texas Governor800 LVR+6.0R+2.0release