2026 Ohio Senate
Margin = Sherrod Brown − Jon Husted. 36 polls from 23 pollsters. Consensus as of Oct 14, 2026: D+3.0(95% band D+0.3 to D+5.8).
Polls and consensus
Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band
How each pollster compares in this race
Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.
| Pollster | Polls here | Avg. vs consensus here | Overall house effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights | 1 | R+6.6 | R+0.8 |
| co/efficient | 1 | R+4.2 | R+3.6 |
| ActiVote | 1 | R+3.2 | D+0.4 |
| The New York Times/Siena | 2 | R+3.1 | R+0.2 |
| Quantus Insights | 2 | R+3.0 | R+1.6 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 2 | R+2.8 | R+0.2 |
| Emerson College | 2 | R+2.8 | R+0.1 |
| Trafalgar Group | 1 | R+0.9 | R+1.5 |
| Suffolk University | 1 | R+0.7 | D+1.1 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2 | R+0.5 | R+0.9 |
| Bowling Green State University/YouGov | 6 | R+0.3 | D+0.2 |
| Big Data Poll | 1 | Even | D+0.3 |
| Wedgewood Polls | 1 | D+0.2 | Even |
| YouGov | 1 | D+0.3 | D+0.3 |
| Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research | 1 | D+0.5 | D+0.8 |
| Tulchin Research | 2 | D+1.0 | D+1.5 |
| OnMessage | 1 | D+1.2 | R+1.2 |
| Abacus Data | 1 | D+2.1 | D+0.8 |
| CNN/SSRS | 1 | D+2.5 | D+0.8 |
| Marist Poll | 2 | D+2.7 | D+2.4 |
| EMC Research | 1 | D+3.3 | D+2.0 |
| Hart Research Associates | 1 | D+4.2 | D+1.2 |
| Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.) | 2 | D+4.9 | D+0.6 |
All polls
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | House-effect adjusted | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026 | Marist Poll | 1,176 LV | D+4.0 | D+1.7 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 26, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026 | ActiVote | 400 LV | Even | R+0.3 | release via wikipedia |
| Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 14, 2026 | Rasmussen Reports R | 901 LV | R+2.0 | R+1.5 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 29, 2026 – Oct 9, 2026 | Bowling Green State University/YouGov | 1,000 LV | D+6.0 | D+5.9 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Oct 5, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026 | co/efficient R | 925 LV | R+1.0 | D+2.7 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 29, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026 | CNN/SSRS | 760 LV | D+6.0 | D+5.3 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 1, 2026 | The New York Times/Siena | 616 LV | D+3.0 | D+3.3 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 18, 2026 – Sep 30, 2026 | YouGov | 3,780 LV | D+4.0 | D+3.9 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 28, 2026 – Sep 29, 2026 | InsiderAdvantage R | 1,200 LV | D+1.0 | D+2.2 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 26, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026 | Big Data Poll R | 680 LV | D+3.7 | D+4.5 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 24, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026 | Marist Poll | 1,298 RV | D+8.0 | D+5.6 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 23, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026 | Suffolk University | 500 LV | D+3.0 | D+1.9 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 22, 2026 – Sep 23, 2026 | Rasmussen Reports R | 1,115 LV | D+3.0 | D+3.5 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 21, 2026 – Sep 23, 2026 | Quantus Insights R | 695 LV | D+0.5 | D+2.8 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 14, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026 | Trafalgar Group R | 1,085 LV | D+3.0 | D+4.7 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 1, 2026 – Sep 10, 2026 | Bowling Green State University/YouGov | 1,000 LV | D+3.0 | D+2.9 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 8, 2026 – Sep 9, 2026 | InsiderAdvantage R | 1,200 LV | D+5.4 | D+6.6 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Aug 26, 2026 – Aug 28, 2026 | Abacus Data | 306 LV | D+6.0 | D+5.3 | release via wikipedia |
| Aug 11, 2026 – Aug 13, 2026 | Wedgewood Polls | 800 LV | D+4.0 | D+4.1 | release via votehub |
| Aug 6, 2026 – Aug 10, 2026 | Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.) R | 1,008 RV | D+8.0 | D+7.5 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Jul 29, 2026 – Aug 4, 2026 | Tulchin Research D | 600 LV | D+4.0 | D+2.6 | release via wikipedia |
| Jun 15, 2026 – Jun 28, 2026 | The New York Times/Siena | 601 LV | R+3.0 | R+2.7 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Jun 14, 2026 – Jun 16, 2026 | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research D | 800 LV | D+3.0 | D+2.1 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Jun 2, 2026 – Jun 4, 2026 | Tulchin Research D | 600 LV | D+4.0 | D+2.6 | release via wikipedia |
| May 28, 2026 – Jun 1, 2026 | Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.) R | 1,015 RV | D+8.0 | D+7.5 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Apr 7, 2026 – Apr 14, 2026 | Bowling Green State University/YouGov | 1,000 RV | R+3.0 | R+3.2 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Apr 3, 2026 – Apr 9, 2026 | Echelon Insights R | 413 LV | R+6.0 | R+4.0 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Mar 13, 2026 – Mar 14, 2026 | Quantus Insights R | 925 LV | R+2.0 | D+0.3 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Mar 3, 2026 – Mar 8, 2026 | OnMessage R | 600 LV | D+2.0 | D+3.3 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Feb 10, 2026 – Feb 22, 2026 | EMC Research D | 1,343 LV | D+4.0 | D+2.0 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Dec 6, 2025 – Dec 8, 2025 | Emerson College | 850 RV | R+2.5 | R+2.4 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Oct 2, 2025 – Oct 14, 2025 | Bowling Green State University/YouGov | 800 RV | D+1.0 | D+0.8 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 19, 2025 – Sep 22, 2025 | Hart Research Associates D | 800 LV | D+3.0 | D+1.9 | release via wikipedia |
| Aug 18, 2025 – Aug 19, 2025 | Emerson College | 1,000 RV | R+5.8 | R+5.7 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Apr 18, 2025 – Apr 24, 2025 | Bowling Green State University/YouGov | 800 RV | R+3.0 | R+3.2 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Feb 14, 2025 – Feb 21, 2025 | Bowling Green State University/YouGov | 800 RV | R+6.0 | R+6.2 | release via votehub,wikipedia |