Hart Research Associates
8 polls analyzed · population: 7 LV, 1 V · declared affiliation: D
Election house effect
D+1.2
95%: R+1.3 to D+3.9 · 8 polls, 7 races
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.62).
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | 2026 South Carolina Governor | 600 V | R+8.0 | D+0.9 | release |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 2026 Florida Governor | 600 LV | D+1.0 | D+3.3 | release |
| Aug 4, 2026 | 2026 Montana Senate | 800 LV | R+15.0 | D+0.5 | release |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 2026 Maine Senate | 802 LV | D+4.0 | D+1.5 | release |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 2026 Montana Senate | 800 LV | R+22.0 | R+5.3 | release |
| Feb 17, 2026 | 2026 Nevada Governor | 800 LV | R+3.0 | R+0.4 | release |
| Sep 22, 2025 | 2026 Ohio Senate | 800 LV | D+3.0 | D+4.2 | release |
| Sep 22, 2025 | 2026 Ohio Governor | 800 LV | D+1.0 | D+3.0 | release |