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EMC Research

5 polls analyzed · population: 4 LV, 1 V

Election house effect
D+2.0
95%: R+0.7 to D+4.8 · 5 polls, 3 races

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its polls bounce around more than sample sizes explain (dispersion 3.18, p = 0.010).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Apr 26, 20262026 California Governor1,000 LVD+1.0D+5.5release
Feb 22, 20262026 Ohio Senate1,343 LVD+4.0D+3.3release
Feb 22, 20262026 Ohio Governor1,343 LVD+10.0D+8.1release
Feb 4, 20262026 California Governor1,400 VR+11.0D+0.5release
Oct 26, 20252026 California Governor1,000 LVR+11.0R+4.2release