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Z to A Research

6 polls analyzed · population: 6 LV

Election house effect
D+0.6
95%: R+2.2 to D+3.5 · 6 polls, 6 races

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.66).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
YouGov34.71.0 to 7.00.4

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Oct 1, 20262026 Michigan Senate483 LVD+7.0D+4.4release
Oct 1, 20262026 Wisconsin Governor662 LVD+5.0D+2.0release
Oct 1, 20262026 Pennsylvania Governor630 LVD+19.0R+3.6release
Oct 1, 20262026 Michigan Governor483 LVD+10.0D+4.0release
Jul 8, 20262026 Maine Senate988 LVR+1.0R+3.4release
Oct 13, 20252026 Iowa Governor1,351 LVD+2.0R+1.3release