2026 Michigan Governor
Margin = Jocelyn Benson − John James. 40 polls from 23 pollsters. Consensus as of Oct 14, 2026: D+5.8(95% band D+2.5 to D+9.0).
Polls and consensus
Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band
How each pollster compares in this race
Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.
| Pollster | Polls here | Avg. vs consensus here | Overall house effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torchlight Strategies | 1 | R+5.7 | R+2.0 |
| Rosetta Stone Communications | 1 | R+5.3 | R+2.6 |
| co/efficient | 1 | R+3.5 | R+3.6 |
| YouGov | 1 | R+3.0 | D+0.3 |
| Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research | 1 | R+2.0 | D+0.8 |
| The New York Times/Siena | 1 | R+1.7 | R+0.2 |
| Glengariff Group | 6 | R+1.6 | R+1.7 |
| Guidant Polling & Strategy | 1 | R+1.5 | R+0.1 |
| Impact Research | 2 | R+1.1 | D+0.4 |
| EPIC-MRA | 3 | R+0.8 | R+0.3 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 6 | R+0.7 | D+0.5 |
| Emerson College | 1 | Even | R+0.1 |
| Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.) | 2 | D+0.2 | D+0.6 |
| Cygnal/Beacon Research | 1 | D+0.3 | D+0.5 |
| Schoen Cooperman Research | 1 | D+0.5 | D+1.3 |
| CNN/SSRS | 1 | D+2.1 | D+0.8 |
| Michigan State University/YouGov | 2 | D+2.5 | D+1.0 |
| Marist Poll | 2 | D+2.9 | D+2.4 |
| Z to A Research | 1 | D+4.0 | D+0.6 |
| Washington Post/George Mason University | 1 | D+5.1 | D+1.8 |
| TIPP Insights | 2 | D+5.9 | D+0.1 |
| Target Insyght | 1 | D+7.2 | D+1.2 |
| Suffolk University | 1 | D+10.3 | D+1.1 |
All polls
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | House-effect adjusted | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026 | Marist Poll | — LV | D+6.0 | D+3.7 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026 | YouGov | 3,949 LV | D+3.0 | D+2.9 | release via wikipedia |
| Oct 1, 2026 – Oct 1, 2026 | Mitchell Research & Communications | 682 LV | D+7.0 | D+6.6 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 28, 2026 – Oct 1, 2026 | Z to A Research D | 483 LV | D+10.0 | D+9.5 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 24, 2026 – Sep 28, 2026 | Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.) R | 1,028 LV | D+9.0 | D+8.6 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 24, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026 | Marist Poll | 1,235 RV | D+12.0 | D+9.6 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 20, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026 | Guidant Polling & Strategy | 800 LV | D+5.0 | D+4.7 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 21, 2026 – Sep 23, 2026 | co/efficient R | 843 LV | D+3.0 | D+6.7 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 15, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026 | The New York Times/Siena | 605 LV | D+5.0 | D+5.3 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 18, 2026 – Sep 21, 2026 | Cygnal/Beacon Research R | 600 LV | D+7.0 | D+7.9 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 16, 2026 – Sep 20, 2026 | Suffolk University | 500 LV | D+17.0 | D+15.9 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 15, 2026 – Sep 19, 2026 | Torchlight Strategies R | 643 LV | D+1.0 | D+3.1 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 12, 2026 – Sep 14, 2026 | Emerson College | 1,000 LV | D+6.7 | D+6.9 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 10, 2026 – Sep 14, 2026 | Washington Post/George Mason University | 803 LV | D+12.0 | D+10.3 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026 | CNN/SSRS | 843 LV | D+9.0 | D+8.3 | release via wikipedia |
| Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 3, 2026 | Glengariff Group | 600 LV | D+4.0 | D+5.8 | release via wikipedia |
| Aug 22, 2026 – Aug 28, 2026 | EPIC-MRA | 600 LV | D+4.0 | D+4.4 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Aug 10, 2026 – Aug 20, 2026 | Michigan State University/YouGov | 779 LV | D+9.0 | D+8.1 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Aug 9, 2026 – Aug 11, 2026 | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research D | 877 LV | D+5.0 | D+4.1 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Aug 6, 2026 – Aug 10, 2026 | TIPP Insights R | 1,215 LV | D+16.0 | D+16.2 | release via wikipedia |
| Aug 6, 2026 – Aug 10, 2026 | Fox News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co.) R | 1,006 RV | D+5.0 | D+4.5 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Jul 24, 2026 – Jul 31, 2026 | EPIC-MRA | 600 LV | D+9.0 | D+9.4 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Jul 28, 2026 – Jul 29, 2026 | Mitchell Research & Communications | 672 LV | D+2.0 | D+1.6 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Jul 22, 2026 – Jul 24, 2026 | Glengariff Group | 600 LV | D+5.0 | D+6.8 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Jun 11, 2026 – Jun 13, 2026 | Mitchell Research & Communications | 827 LV | D+11.0 | D+10.6 | release via wikipedia |
| May 20, 2026 – May 23, 2026 | TIPP Insights R | 1,163 LV | D+11.0 | D+11.2 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| May 1, 2026 – May 7, 2026 | Mitchell Research & Communications | 607 LV | D+12.0 | D+11.6 | release via wikipedia |
| Apr 28, 2026 – May 1, 2026 | Glengariff Group | 600 LV | D+5.0 | D+6.8 | release via wikipedia |
| Mar 23, 2026 – Mar 29, 2026 | Impact Research D | 800 LV | D+4.0 | D+3.4 | release via wikipedia |
| Mar 2, 2026 – Mar 24, 2026 | Michigan State University/YouGov | 1,000 A | D+8.0 | D+5.3 | release via wikipedia |
| Feb 9, 2026 – Feb 16, 2026 | Impact Research D | 800 LV | D+3.0 | D+2.4 | release via wikipedia |
| Jan 27, 2026 – Feb 2, 2026 | Glengariff Group | — LV | D+4.0 | D+5.8 | release via wikipedia |
| Jan 2, 2026 – Jan 6, 2026 | Glengariff Group | 600 LV | D+2.0 | D+3.8 | release via wikipedia |
| Nov 18, 2025 – Nov 21, 2025 | Mitchell Research & Communications | 616 LV | R+6.0 | R+6.4 | release via wikipedia |
| Nov 6, 2025 – Nov 11, 2025 | EPIC-MRA | 600 RV | R+1.0 | R+0.7 | release via wikipedia |
| Oct 23, 2025 – Oct 25, 2025 | Rosetta Stone Communications R | 637 LV | R+5.0 | R+2.3 | release via wikipedia |
| Oct 9, 2025 – Oct 14, 2025 | Schoen Cooperman Research D | 600 LV | D+1.0 | R+0.2 | release via wikipedia |
| May 5, 2025 – May 8, 2025 | Glengariff Group | 600 RV | D+1.0 | D+2.7 | release via wikipedia |
| Mar 13, 2025 – Mar 13, 2025 | Mitchell Research & Communications | 688 LV | D+3.0 | D+2.6 | release via wikipedia |
| Feb 3, 2025 – Feb 8, 2025 | Target Insyght | 600 V | D+12.0 | D+11.3 | release via wikipedia |