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EPIC-MRA

5 polls analyzed · population: 4 LV, 1 RV

Election house effect
R+0.3
95%: R+3.1 to D+2.7 · 5 polls, 2 races

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.36).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
Glengariff Group44.31.5 to 6.71.4

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Aug 28, 20262026 Michigan Senate600 LVD+4.0D+1.7release
Aug 28, 20262026 Michigan Governor600 LVD+4.0R+2.9release
Jul 31, 20262026 Michigan Senate600 LVR+3.0R+4.2release
Jul 31, 20262026 Michigan Governor600 LVD+9.0D+1.9release
Nov 11, 20252026 Michigan Governor600 RVR+1.0R+1.4release