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Glengariff Group

11 polls analyzed · population: 2 RV, 9 LV

Election house effect
R+1.7
95%: R+4.2 to D+0.6 · 11 polls, 2 races

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.54).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
Mitchell Research & Communications4-5.1-9.2 to 0.5-2.2
EPIC-MRA4-4.3-6.7 to -1.5-1.4

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Sep 3, 20262026 Michigan Senate600 LVR+2.0R+4.4release
Sep 3, 20262026 Michigan Governor600 LVD+4.0R+2.9release
Jul 24, 20262026 Michigan Senate600 LVR+10.3R+11.3release
Jul 24, 20262026 Michigan Governor600 LVD+5.0R+2.3release
May 1, 20262026 Michigan Senate600 LVR+5.0R+5.0release
May 1, 20262026 Michigan Governor600 LVD+5.0R+2.2release
Feb 2, 20262026 Michigan Governor— LVD+4.0D+0.5release
Jan 6, 20262026 Michigan Senate600 LVR+6.0R+3.6release
Jan 6, 20262026 Michigan Governor600 LVD+2.0R+0.7release
May 8, 20252026 Michigan Senate600 RVR+6.0R+1.8release
May 8, 20252026 Michigan Governor600 RVD+1.0R+1.9release