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Mitchell Research & Communications

11 polls analyzed · population: 11 LV

Election house effect
D+0.5
95%: R+1.9 to D+2.8 · 11 polls, 2 races

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.70).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
Glengariff Group45.1-0.5 to 9.22.2

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Oct 1, 20262026 Michigan Senate682 LVD+5.0D+2.4release
Oct 1, 20262026 Michigan Governor682 LVD+7.0D+1.0release
Jul 29, 20262026 Michigan Senate672 LVEvenR+1.2release
Jul 29, 20262026 Michigan Governor672 LVD+2.0R+5.2release
Jun 13, 20262026 Michigan Senate827 LVD+5.0D+3.8release
Jun 13, 20262026 Michigan Governor827 LVD+11.0D+3.0release
May 7, 20262026 Michigan Senate607 LVD+1.0D+0.7release
May 7, 20262026 Michigan Governor607 LVD+12.0D+4.5release
Nov 21, 20252026 Michigan Senate616 LVR+3.0D+0.7release
Nov 21, 20252026 Michigan Governor616 LVR+6.0R+6.6release
Mar 13, 20252026 Michigan Governor688 LVD+3.0R+0.9release