UMass Lowell/YouGov
6 polls analyzed · population: 2 A, 4 LV
Election house effect
R+0.7
95%: R+3.4 to D+2.0 · 5 polls, 5 races
Approval house effect
−2.8 net approval
95%: −9.0 net approval to +3.8 net approval · 1 polls, 1 race
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.44).
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Trump job approval: consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 4 | -0.3 | -2.0 to 1.0 | -0.9 |
| Big Data Poll | 3 | -2.0 | -5.0 to 1.0 | -1.0 |
| CNN/SSRS | 3 | -1.0 | -3.0 to 2.0 | -1.5 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 1,000 A | −22.0 net approval | −5.7 | release |
| Sep 28, 2026 | 2026 Texas Senate | 850 LV | Even | R+2.6 | release |
| Sep 28, 2026 | 2026 Texas Governor | 850 LV | R+4.0 | R+1.4 | release |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 2026 Maine Senate | 650 LV | D+5.0 | D+2.2 | release |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 2026 Maine Governor | 650 LV | D+11.0 | R+0.4 | release |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 1,000 A | D+3.0 | R+2.5 | release |