CBS News/YouGov
11 polls analyzed · population: 5 A, 6 LV
Election house effect
D+0.4
95%: R+1.8 to D+2.6 · 6 polls, 6 races
Approval house effect
+1.8 net approval
95%: −0.8 net approval to +4.4 net approval · 5 polls, 1 race
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.24).
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Trump job approval: consistency
Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.97).
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marist Poll | 4 | -1.0 | -3.0 to 0.0 | -2.0 |
Trump job approval
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 12 | 1.7 | 0.3 to 3.3 | 3.3 |
| Morning Consult | 10 | -0.1 | -2.5 to 2.1 | -1.9 |
| RMG Research | 7 | -5.3 | -7.7 to -3.0 | -6.1 |
| J.L. Partners | 7 | -3.9 | -8.0 to 0.0 | -3.4 |
| Quantus Insights | 6 | -3.5 | -5.4 to -2.0 | -2.1 |
| TIPP Insights | 6 | 0.5 | -2.3 to 3.5 | -1.6 |
| Ipsos | 6 | 5.8 | 3.0 to 8.5 | 6.5 |
| Cygnal | 4 | 2.8 | -0.5 to 4.9 | 3.9 |
| Clarity Campaign Labs | 3 | -1.3 | -3.0 to 1.0 | 0.1 |
| Navigator Research (GSG/GBAO) | 3 | 2.3 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 3.7 |
| Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage | 3 | -5.6 | -12.0 to -2.2 | -4.9 |
| HarrisX | 3 | -5.0 | -8.0 to -3.0 | -4.5 |
| Global Strategy Group | 3 | 2.3 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 4.5 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 2,365 A | −10.0 net approval | −3.0 | release |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 2,410 A | −6.0 net approval | −0.6 | release |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 2,609 A | Even | +2.8 | release |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 2,311 A | +2.0 net approval | +1.0 | release |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 2,175 A | +6.0 net approval | +3.2 | release |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 2026 Texas Senate | 1,492 LV | D+2.0 | R+0.1 | release |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 2026 Texas Governor | 1,492 LV | R+4.0 | R+1.4 | release |
| Oct 2, 2026 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 1,572 LV | D+9.0 | D+1.4 | release |
| Oct 1, 2026 | 2026 Maine Senate | 1,136 LV | Even | R+2.1 | release |
| Oct 1, 2026 | 2026 Maine Governor | 1,133 LV | D+12.0 | D+0.8 | release |
| Apr 27, 2026 | 2026 California Governor | 1,479 LV | R+3.0 | D+1.5 | release |