2026 Virginia Senate
Margin = Mark Warner − Bert Mizusawa. 2 polls from 1 pollsters.
Polls and consensus
Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band
Too few polls for a consensus trend.
How each pollster compares in this race
Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.
| Pollster | Polls here | Avg. vs consensus here | Overall house effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Public Sentiment Institute | 2 | D+1.6 | D+1.5 |
All polls
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | House-effect adjusted | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 – Jun 16, 2026 | The Public Sentiment Institute | 996 LV | D+18.0 | D+16.4 | release via wikipedia |
| May 1, 2026 – May 5, 2026 | The Public Sentiment Institute R | 1,047 LV | D+26.0 | D+25.7 | release via wikipedia |