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Slingshot Strategies

9 polls analyzed · population: 9 LV

Election house effect
D+0.8
95%: R+1.3 to D+2.9 · 9 polls, 2 races

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its polls cluster more tightly around its own lean than sample sizes allow (dispersion 0.28, p = 0.030). That can mean herding, or heavy weighting and modeling.

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
Texas Public Opinion Research8-0.1-0.4 to 0.0-0.3

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Sep 22, 20262026 Texas Senate1,007 LVD+4.0D+1.4release
Sep 22, 20262026 Texas Governor1,007 LVR+4.0R+1.4release
Aug 24, 20262026 Texas Senate1,000 LVD+6.0D+3.0release
Aug 24, 20262026 Texas Governor1,000 LVR+7.0R+3.3release
Jul 17, 20262026 Texas Senate1,048 LVD+5.0D+2.5release
Jul 17, 20262026 Texas Governor1,048 LVR+3.0D+1.3release
May 28, 20262026 Texas Senate1,670 LVD+3.0D+1.0release
May 28, 20262026 Texas Governor1,670 LVR+5.0D+0.6release
Apr 20, 20262026 Texas Governor1,018 LVR+5.0D+1.1release