Yale Youth Poll
4 polls analyzed · population: 4 RV
Election house effect
R+1.5
95%: R+4.0 to D+1.0 · 2 polls, 1 race
Approval house effect
+0.7 net approval
95%: −2.6 net approval to +3.9 net approval · 2 polls, 1 race
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Trump job approval: consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | 4 | -2.5 | -5.3 to 0.8 | 0.6 |
| YouGov | 3 | -2.0 | -5.0 to 0.0 | -1.8 |
Trump job approval
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 4 | 1.8 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 2.1 |
| Morning Consult | 3 | -3.7 | -5.0 to -3.0 | -3.0 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 3,429 RV | −14.0 net approval | +1.5 | release |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Donald Trump job approval (2025–) | 3,426 RV | −12.0 net approval | +0.1 | release |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 3,429 RV | D+2.0 | R+3.4 | release |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 3,426 RV | D+2.0 | R+1.9 | release |