2026 Oregon Governor
Margin = Tina Kotek − Christine Drazan. 6 polls from 5 pollsters. Consensus as of Sep 30, 2026: D+1.0(95% band R+3.9 to D+5.9).
Polls and consensus
Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band
How each pollster compares in this race
Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.
| Pollster | Polls here | Avg. vs consensus here | Overall house effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies | 1 | R+5.0 | R+2.5 |
| Hoffman Research Group | 1 | R+1.5 | R+1.2 |
| DHM Research | 2 | R+0.9 | Even |
| FM3 Research | 1 | D+2.1 | D+0.4 |
| GBAO | 1 | D+3.0 | D+1.9 |
All polls
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | House-effect adjusted | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026 | GBAO D | 800 LV | D+4.0 | D+1.9 | release via wikipedia |
| Sep 24, 2026 – Oct 1, 2026 | DHM Research | 549 LV | D+2.0 | D+2.1 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 11, 2026 – Sep 11, 2026 | DHM Research | 600 LV | R+2.0 | R+1.9 | release via votehub |
| Jun 22, 2026 – Jun 24, 2026 | Public Opinion Strategies R | 600 RV | R+4.0 | R+0.9 | release via wikipedia |
| May 11, 2026 – May 12, 2026 | Hoffman Research Group R | 603 LV | Even | D+1.3 | release via wikipedia |
| Jan 26, 2026 – Feb 4, 2026 | FM3 Research D | 1,065 LV | D+5.0 | D+4.7 | release via votehub,wikipedia |