2026 Tennessee Governor
Margin = Jerri Green − Marsha Blackburn. 5 polls from 4 pollsters. Consensus as of Oct 14, 2026: R+14.7(95% band R+21.0 to R+8.7).
Polls and consensus
Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band
How each pollster compares in this race
Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.
| Pollster | Polls here | Avg. vs consensus here | Overall house effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research | 2 | R+5.0 | R+1.9 |
| Quantus Insights | 1 | R+2.8 | R+1.6 |
| Spry Strategies | 1 | D+2.7 | R+0.5 |
| TargetSmart | 1 | D+6.3 | D+2.1 |
All polls
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | House-effect adjusted | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026 | Spry Strategies R | 635 LV | R+12.0 | R+11.4 | release via votehub,wikipedia |
| Sep 9, 2026 – Sep 12, 2026 | TargetSmart D | 600 LV | R+9.0 | R+11.0 | release via votehub |
| Aug 15, 2026 – Aug 26, 2026 | Targoz Market Research | 601 LV | R+21.0 | R+19.0 | release via wikipedia |
| Apr 20, 2026 – Apr 27, 2026 | Targoz Market Research | 1,157 RV | R+24.0 | R+22.1 | release via votehub |
| Aug 5, 2025 – Aug 7, 2025 | Quantus Insights R | 600 RV | R+21.0 | R+18.9 | release via votehub,wikipedia |