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ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos

4 polls analyzed · population: 2 RV, 2 A

Election house effect
R+0.2
95%: R+3.2 to D+3.0 · 1 polls, 1 race
Approval house effect
−4.1 net approval
95%: −7.3 net approval to −0.7 net approval · 3 polls, 1 race

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Trump job approval: consistency

Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Trump job approval

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
Morning Consult5-6.6-7.8 to -5.6-7.8
Ipsos42.00.8 to 3.00.7
YouGov4-3.0-5.8 to -1.3-2.6

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Oct 13, 2026Donald Trump job approval (2025–)2,545 A−33.0 net approval−6.7release
Oct 28, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)2,203 RV−14.0 net approval−3.8release
Feb 18, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,206 A−3.0 net approval−4.9release
Oct 28, 20252026 Generic congressional ballot2,203 RVD+2.0R+1.1release