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Alaska Survey Research

15 polls analyzed · population: 15 LV

Election house effect
R+0.2
95%: R+3.1 to D+2.6 · 15 polls, 2 races

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its polls bounce around more than sample sizes explain (dispersion 23.21, p < 0.001).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
Data for Progress3-16.9-39.4 to -3.2-2.1

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Oct 18, 20262026 Alaska Governor1,568 LVD+10.0R+3.4release
Oct 3, 20262026 Alaska Senate1,512 LVD+42.0D+36.4release
Oct 3, 20262026 Alaska Governor1,512 LVD+21.0D+7.4release
Sep 12, 20262026 Alaska Senate1,352 LVD+44.0D+38.8release
Aug 23, 20262026 Alaska Senate1,495 LVD+1.2R+3.2release
Aug 5, 20262026 Alaska Senate1,371 LVD+1.6R+2.6release
Jul 1, 20262026 Alaska Governor1,528 LVR+6.0R+9.2release
Jun 7, 20262026 Alaska Senate1,393 LVD+5.2D+1.0release
May 17, 20262026 Alaska Senate1,401 LVD+4.6D+0.3release
Apr 19, 20262026 Alaska Senate1,946 LVD+4.0R+0.1release
Mar 22, 20262026 Alaska Senate1,590 LVD+5.0D+1.2release
Jan 11, 20262026 Alaska Senate1,681 LVD+1.6R+0.5release
Oct 15, 20252026 Alaska Senate1,708 LVD+2.0D+1.4release
Aug 1, 20252026 Alaska Senate1,613 LVR+4.2R+2.6release
Apr 25, 20232026 Alaska Senate1,261 LVD+3.0D+0.5release