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2026 Alaska Governor

Margin = Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins − Bernadette Wilson. 11 polls from 9 pollsters. Consensus as of Oct 14, 2026: D+13.4(95% band D+8.8 to D+17.9).

Polls and consensus

Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band

How each pollster compares in this race

Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.

PollsterPolls hereAvg. vs consensus hereOverall house effect
Lake Research Partners1R+4.1Even
Change Research1R+3.5D+0.8
Dittman Research1R+2.0R+0.1
Alaska Survey Research3R+1.8R+0.2
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research1R+1.5D+0.8
Data for Progress1D+4.6D+1.9
The New York Times/Siena1D+6.4R+0.2
Cygnal1D+6.9R+0.8
co/efficient1D+10.6R+3.6

All polls

Field datesPollsterSampleResultHouse-effect adjustedSource
Oct 15, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026Alaska Survey Research1,568 LVD+10.0D+10.3release via votehub,wikipedia
Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026Data for Progress D694 LVD+18.0D+16.0release via wikipedia
Oct 1, 2026 – Oct 3, 2026Alaska Survey Research1,512 LVD+21.0D+21.3release via wikipedia
Sep 24, 2026 – Oct 1, 2026The New York Times/Siena504 LVD+20.0D+20.3release via wikipedia
Sep 24, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026Cygnal R502 LVD+20.0D+21.7release via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 14, 2026 – Sep 17, 2026co/efficient R799 LVD+23.0D+26.7release via wikipedia
Sep 8, 2026 – Sep 11, 2026Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research D800 LVD+10.0D+9.1release via votehub,wikipedia
Jul 17, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026Change Research D604 LVD+1.0D+0.1release via wikipedia
Jun 30, 2026 – Jul 1, 2026Alaska Survey Research1,528 LVR+6.0R+5.7release via wikipedia
Apr 27, 2026 – Apr 30, 2026Dittman Research451 LVR+1.0R+0.8release via wikipedia
Feb 5, 2026 – Feb 11, 2026Lake Research Partners D600 LVR+5.0R+4.9release via wikipedia