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Lake Research Partners

9 polls analyzed · population: 1 RV, 8 LV

Election house effect
Even
95%: R+2.7 to D+2.8 · 8 polls, 4 races
Approval house effect
−2.9 net approval
95%: −9.9 net approval to +4.3 net approval · 1 polls, 1 race

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Its poll-to-poll spread is in the normal range (dispersion 0.53).

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Trump job approval: consistency

Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Mar 30, 2026Donald Trump job approval (2025–)800 LV−19.0 net approval−2.7release
Sep 14, 20262026 Nebraska Governor— RVEvenD+2.0release
Apr 29, 20262026 Nebraska Governor900 LVR+2.0D+1.6release
Feb 11, 20262026 Alaska Governor600 LVR+5.0R+4.1release
Dec 17, 20252026 Nebraska Senate900 LVR+1.0R+0.8release
Dec 17, 20252026 Nebraska Governor900 LVR+5.0D+0.6release
Nov 20, 20252026 California Governor600 LVR+11.0R+2.9release
Jul 29, 20252026 Nebraska Senate900 LVD+1.0D+0.9release
Jul 29, 20252026 Nebraska Governor900 LVR+12.0R+3.8release