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2026 Nebraska Senate

Margin = Dan Osborn − Pete Ricketts. 11 polls from 9 pollsters. Consensus as of Sep 30, 2026: D+0.3(95% band R+3.1 to D+3.7).

Polls and consensus

Individual poll (click to open source)Consensus, house effects removed95% band

How each pollster compares in this race

Average distance of each pollster's polls from the consensus of all other polls at the same time. The overall house effect is that pollster's lean across every race we track.

PollsterPolls hereAvg. vs consensus hereOverall house effect
co/efficient1R+5.3R+3.6
National Public Affairs1R+3.3R+2.5
Impact Research2R+0.6D+0.4
Change Research1R+0.5D+0.8
Lake Research Partners2D+0.1Even
GBAO1D+0.6D+1.9
YouGov1D+0.7D+0.3
SurveyUSA1D+3.5R+1.1
Tavern Research1D+4.3D+2.7

All polls

Field datesPollsterSampleResultHouse-effect adjustedSource
Oct 2, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026National Public Affairs R800 LVR+3.0Evenrelease via votehub,wikipedia
Sep 24, 2026 – Oct 3, 2026YouGov1,809 LVD+1.0D+0.8release via wikipedia
Sep 28, 2026 – Sep 30, 2026co/efficient R1,113 LVR+5.0R+1.3release via wikipedia
Sep 8, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026SurveyUSA503 LVD+4.0D+5.3release via wikipedia
Sep 3, 2026 – Sep 8, 2026GBAO D800 LVD+1.0R+1.1release via votehub,wikipedia
Aug 9, 2026 – Aug 13, 2026Impact Research D600 LVEvenR+0.6release via wikipedia
May 8, 2026 – May 11, 2026Tavern Research D1,165 LVD+5.0D+2.1release via wikipedia
Feb 2, 2026 – Feb 5, 2026Impact Research D600 LVR+1.0R+1.6release via wikipedia
Dec 11, 2025 – Dec 17, 2025Lake Research Partners D900 LVR+1.0R+0.9release via wikipedia
Jul 23, 2025 – Jul 29, 2025Lake Research Partners D900 LVD+1.0D+1.1release via wikipedia
Mar 28, 2025 – Apr 1, 2025Change Research D524 LVR+1.0R+1.9release via wikipedia