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High Point University Survey Research Center

6 polls analyzed · population: 1 A, 2 RV, 3 LV

Election house effect
Even
95%: R+3.0 to D+2.9 · 4 polls, 2 races
Approval house effect
−0.8 net approval
95%: −6.9 net approval to +5.1 net approval · 2 polls, 1 race

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency

Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Trump job approval: consistency

Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.

Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall

Head-to-head with other pollsters

Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.

Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
YouGov31.3-4.0 to 6.0-0.3

Trump job approval

Show as table
Compared withPairsAvg. gap95% intervalModel estimate
YouGov4-1.8-6.5 to 3.00.6
Morning Consult4-7.8-11.5 to -3.5-4.5

All polls

EndedRaceSampleResultvs consensusSource
Apr 3, 2026Donald Trump job approval (2025–)1,001 A−14.0 net approval+2.1release
Nov 14, 2025Donald Trump job approval (2025–)837 RV−19.0 net approval−6.2release
Sep 16, 20262026 North Carolina Senate706 LVD+8.0R+1.8release
Aug 12, 20262026 North Carolina Senate660 LVD+5.0R+3.8release
Apr 6, 20262026 North Carolina Senate703 LVD+8.0R+1.6release
Nov 14, 20252026 Generic congressional ballot837 RVD+9.0D+5.0release