KFF
2 polls analyzed · population: 2 RV
Election house effect
D+1.3
95%: R+1.7 to D+4.4 · 2 polls, 1 race
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor): consistency
Fewer than 5 polls, so not enough to judge how consistent its polls are.
Poll: distance from consensusThis pollster's house effectWhere 95% of polls should fall
Head-to-head with other pollsters
Polls of the same race fielded within a week of each other. Each row is the average gap between this pollster and another. A point on the left means this pollster's numbers run more Democratic, and a point on the right means more Republican (for approval: more favorable to Trump). This comparison uses no model.
Election polls (generic ballot, Senate, governor)
Show as table
| Compared with | Pairs | Avg. gap | 95% interval | Model estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | 4 | 5.5 | 5.0 to 6.0 | 3.5 |
| YouGov | 4 | 3.5 | 3.0 to 4.0 | 1.1 |
| Verasight | 3 | 1.3 | -1.0 to 3.0 | -0.5 |
All polls
| Ended | Race | Sample | Result | vs consensus | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 1,107 RV | D+9.0 | D+3.4 | release |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2026 Generic congressional ballot | 1,141 RV | D+7.0 | D+2.6 | release |